That's a really good question. During his presidential campaign, Obama used Afghanistan as a way to show that, while he opposed the war in Iraq, he was not, as he once said, opposed to all war. He called Iraq a distraction from the real central front of the war against terror, Afghanistan. He was firm in his belief that Afghanistan would require a renewed commitment by the United States and pledged to do so, while bringing the war in Iraq to an end.
He has made good on that promise, perhaps even more than he imagined. Peter Baker had a very good piece in Sunday's New York Times in which he quoted Secretary of Defense Robert Gates as saying that he and the president thought their initial decision in the spring of 2009 to add troops in Afghanistan probably would be enough. They were both surprised when Gen. McChrystal came back with a request for 40,000 more a few months later.
So President Obama has escalated probably beyond his expectations, and he knows there is limited patience, especially in his Democratic base, for long commitment at these troop levels in Afghanistan. When he talked about Afghanistan tonight, he spent as much time emphasizing that he opposes an open-ended commitment as he did about the stakes involved in the U.S. mission there.