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June 27, 2014

11:01
A.M.

The Fix Live

Total Responses: 70

About the hosts

About the host

Host: Chris Cillizza

Chris Cillizza

Chris Cillizza is the managing editor of PostPolitics and he writes "The Fix," a politics blog for The Washington Post. He also covers the White House for the newspaper and website. Chris has appeared as a guest on NBC, CBS, ABC, MSNBC, Fox News Channel and CNN to talk politics. He lives in Virginia with his wife and sons.

About the topic

The Fix's Chris Cillizza discussed the latest in political news.

Follow @TheFix on Twitter.
Q.

Chris Cillizza :

Happy Friday everyone! One of the busier primary weeks of the season is behind us -- leaving lots of good fodder in its wake. (How exactly DID Thad Cochran win?)

Plus, we are in the heart of the World Cup -- and the US made it to the knockout round!

Let's do this.

Q.

Jeb Bush, Mike Huckabee, Paul Ryan

Three guys who would all make strong candidates for the GOP nomination. Three guys who also seem to have sweet gigs they really enjoy. Three guys with good reasons not to run (although I still think Jeb might run).
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Agree.

I don't see Huckabee or Ryan running. I could be persuaded that Jeb runs although I still think it's more likely than not that he stays out.

Stay tuned for our latest rankings of the 2016 GOP field in the Fix later today...

– June 27, 2014 11:03 AM
Q.

Charlie Rangel

No real national significance to his survival, but there are two points about Hispanic voters worth noting (1) their political power still does not match their numbers and (2) they are not a homogenous group -- Adriano Espaillat cleaned up among his fellow Dominicans, but the district's many Puerto Ricans (concentrated in East Harlem) mostly stuck with Rangel.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Both very good points.

I also think Rangel's decision to announce this next one would be his last term was smart. People figured that they could send him out on a high note and then replace him in two years time.

– June 27, 2014 11:05 AM
Q.

World Cup

USA-Belgium -- a pretty even match, no? When I'm not cheering the Red-White-and-Blue, I back the Oranje. What are the chances that the Dutch win it all? Get into the final?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Dutch have looked like the best team in the tournament so far.

I worry about U.S. Belgium.  They have a LOT of talent on that team: Hazard, Lukaku etc...

– June 27, 2014 11:07 AM
Q.

Facts, please

Do you make more money now or when you graduated high school? Your paper's story counted money Bill Clinton received from speeches starting in Jan. 2001, when the Clintons left the White House. Hillary referred to their money at that point, not now (when everyone says they're rich). I know everything about the political impact of saying something out of touch, but the actual statement was not true and has been distorted. Even WaPo's story acknowledges this by talking about the $ made after the Clintons left the White House.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The point of today's story was simply to detail how much money Bill Clinton has made from speechifying since leaving the White House, not to offer a broad judgment on whether thats a good or a bad thing. (The story is here:http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/how-the-clintons-went-from-dead-broke-to-rich-bill-earned-1049-million-for-speeches/2014/06/26/8fa0b372-fd3a-11e3-8176-f2c941cf35f1_story.html?hpid=z1)

As for how Hillary and Bill Clinton talk about their wealth, I do think she has fumbled a bit. The reality is that they always had massive earning power coming out of the white House and so the idea that they were in financial straits is simply not true although, technically, they were in debt.

I think Clinton would be well served to say something like: "We have been extraordinarily blessed in our lives. But, through it all, I've never stopped working for or thinking about the middle class."

– June 27, 2014 11:10 AM
Q.

Corker for President?

Hahahaha. Good luck explaining away being 1 of 3 votes against the VA bill. Absurd speculation from a bored press.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yeah, the truth is in the current incarnation of the Republican party, Bob Corker wouldn't have a snowball's chance at the nomination.

– June 27, 2014 11:11 AM
Q.

Orphan Black

Are you watching? The second season concluded last week. Really enjoyable.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

About a third of the way through Season 2. I love that show.

– June 27, 2014 11:11 AM
Q.

Netherlands-Mexico

At least according to Yahoo, the Netherlands is the favorite. Am I crazy to predict Mexico to upset the Dutch?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Possible. Mexico has played really well in this tournament after being horrible in qualifying.

I still think the Dutch look too strong; I see them in the semifinals and maybe even the finals.

– June 27, 2014 11:12 AM
Q.

The View

FYI, the theme song to 'The View' is....'The View Theme Song'. Quite the bastion of creativity over there.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

This is my theme song: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tONxTs5CXg8&feature=kp

– June 27, 2014 11:12 AM
Q.

2016 Dem ticket

Don't you think that a Hillary Clinton / Elizabeth Warren ticket would be pretty much unbeatable? I know that VP pick doesn't usually mean much, but I think the progressive left would be over the top if Warren were on the ticket.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Maybe. But will Hillary Clinton really need to make a VP pick to shore up the liberal left? Seems unlikely to me.

– June 27, 2014 11:13 AM
Q.

Roger Wicker

How concerned should he be that McDaniel will challenge him next?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Not very.

I think McDaniel proved in this race that he was an undisciplined candidate who missed a golden opportunity to beat an incumbent who was clearly not ready for a serious challenge.

Wicker, if he wasn't already, will be more than ready post-Cochran.

– June 27, 2014 11:14 AM
Q.

Immigration

What do you see happening on the immigration front, with Cantor out of leadership? Do you think there will be a big push before July 31st?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Um, no.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/06/26/immigration-reform-in-congress-is-dead-thats-really-bad-news-for-republicans-in-2016/

– June 27, 2014 11:15 AM
Q.

Food

What should I eat for lunch Chris?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Pizza. It's Friday.  It's summer. The US is in the knockout round.

– June 27, 2014 11:16 AM
Q.

NC senate

last few polls have seen hagan coming back, still in danger of course, but rebounding, does this seem about right?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Going to be very close. If I had to guess, I would peg her as the slightest of underdogs..

– June 27, 2014 11:16 AM
Q.

HBO

so, planning on watching any of the new HBO shows? True blood, the leftovers, something else?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

NOT Leftovers. I hate that preview.

I am planning to get into:

* Fargo

* Silicon Valley

* Tyrant

And I am on the last season of Breaking Bad. DAMN.

– June 27, 2014 11:17 AM
Q.

Overlooked in ms sen

So yeah Cochran won, but he would have not only lost but lost badly, had it not been for the black Democrats who turned out. Politics ain't bean bag, and Cochran was smart to take that route, but that nonetheless means that the conservative outside groups didn't really fail, having achieved their goal of getting a majority of Republicans to vote against Cochran, right?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

In politics, winning is the only measure of success. And Cochran won.  So, yes, tea party groups failed.

– June 27, 2014 11:17 AM
Q.

Cochran's Strategy

How out-of-the-box was Thad Cochran's political strategy for the runoff? Was it just a type of old-school political maneuvering we haven't seen in this age of hyper-ideological Republican candidates or is it actually something new; and do you think we will see this replicated anywhere?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Absolutely remarkable. I compared Cochran winning to the equivalent of pitching a political perfect game. 

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/06/24/how-thad-cochran-won/

– June 27, 2014 11:19 AM
Q.

Voter non-fraud in Mississippi

How long would you wager that McDaniel's posse will drag out their "investigation" into supposedly illegal crossover voting? Given the low turnout in the Dem primary, it seems unlikely that many of them also showed up for the GOP runoff. Will we see a shadow campaign in the meantime with McDaniel assuming he'll be vindicated and become the nominee?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

McDaniel's main point seems to be that the race wasn't decided entirely by Republicans.

Sure. But that's not against the law.  Mississippi doesn't have party registration. So, anyone who didn't vote in the Democratic primary on June 3 could legally vote on Tuesday.

Which they did. I don't see the issue.

McDaniel seems to be annoyed that he got out-thought by the Cochran campaign. That, of course, is not a crime.

– June 27, 2014 11:20 AM
Q.

2016 Senate Races

Who is likely to run in Illinois? Does Kirk retire?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

If he retires, I think Tammy Duckworth might make a run on the D side.  Maybe a more liberal D from Chicago-area too. And, then there's always Lisa Madigan who would clear the field if she ran.

For Republicans, I would bet Aaron Schock would run.

– June 27, 2014 11:21 AM
Q.

Oklahoma Senate

What in the world happened in Oklahoma? I really thought Shannon was on a roll for a while but he ended up loosing by what ... 20 some percent?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

23!

Lankford was better known to start and ran the far superior campaign.  Another tea party setback.

– June 27, 2014 11:22 AM
Q.

non-american football

Do you have the power to get Hank Jr. to do some kind of "All My Rowdy Friends" thing for the World Cup? I know you're awesome. I'm counting on you.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Thanks for the vote of confidence.

And, no.

– June 27, 2014 11:23 AM
Q.

Thad Cochran

Do you think his victory will make McDaniel supporters less likely to go to the polls in November? How does that hurt the Senator's chances, if at all?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Sure, some of them will stay home.

But, this is Mississippi in a midterm election that looks good for Republicans nationally. So, A LOT of them would need to stay home for it to come close to mattering. And I don't see that happening.

– June 27, 2014 11:24 AM
Q.

politics is amazing

Thad Cochran loses a primary but survives a runoff, Eric Cantor loses his primary, Paul Broun and Phil Gingrey don't even make the runoff, the federal government shuts down but Republicans are still favored in November, Hillary Clinton starts a book tour but makes several pretty big mistakes. Who could have predicted this kind of stuff at this time last year? Amazing
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yup.

It's why I love my job.

– June 27, 2014 11:25 AM
Q.

US escape from Group of Death

Which was more responsible for our advancement to the knockout stage: Hulk Hogan's promo video, or Will Ferrell's appearance in Recife?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Farrell.

Here it is for those who haven't seen: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3z4Hzo9UmrQ&feature=youtu.be

– June 27, 2014 11:26 AM
Q.

Which was the bigger shock?

Cantor losing or Cochran winning?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Oh, Cantor. By a lot.

– June 27, 2014 11:27 AM
Q.

Predicting primary results

Been a rough couple weeks with GOP primary predictions (Cantor and Cochran). Do they have relegation for political commentators/pundits like they do in the Premier League? They should. That'd be great (although you'd have to get used to calling town council or city Sanitation Commissioner races).
A.
Chris Cillizza :

That would be awesome.

Also, I do think the relegation concept could really work in the US. Keep tanking in the NBA and you have to play in the D league for a year and a D league team who won moves up.

– June 27, 2014 11:28 AM
Q.

Ann Coulter

She says soccer is destroying us. True or false?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The Kardashians are destroying us. Everyone knows that.

– June 27, 2014 11:28 AM
Q.

What do you sound like...

when you inhale helium?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Exactly the same.

– June 27, 2014 11:29 AM
Q.

McDaniel's "Concession" Speech

I agree that it completely lacked class. Question: does he go forward with his "legal challenge" to the primary? Or does the establishment muzzle him? (Think of the optics - a conservative candidate sues because African American turnout increased in a primary? Oh dear me...)
A.
Chris Cillizza :

He probably foes forward with it in some form since I don't think he much cares what the establishment wants.

But, if I read Mississippi law right, he doesn't have much solid ground on which to stand.

– June 27, 2014 11:29 AM
Q.

Immigration reform

What will ever be the incentive for a House GOP member to support reform? Even if the GOP candidate loses in 2016, as long as the base is against it, for their own self interest, they should be against it.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The argument from reform advocates is that it's simply not the poison pill politically speaking that some people present it as.

As in, voting for immigration reform isn't going to cost anyone their job. The problem with that argument is the hit Marco Rubio took for his involvement in the comprehensive immigration package that passed the Senate.

– June 27, 2014 11:30 AM
Q.

Hillary Clinton / Wealth Issue.

Seriously...who doesn't run for President who isn't wealthy? Lets be fair, isn't targeting a candidate for being wealthy just an excuse for not liking who they are as a person? Why doesn't the Media like Hillary?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Not about being wealthy.

It's about being comfortable talking about your financial successes and then pivoting back to a focus on what you have done and can do for people less well off than you.

She's still struggling with that.

– June 27, 2014 11:31 AM
Q.

Today's Howard Baker

Out of today's group of Senator's/Representatives, who do you think comes closest to the level of respect Howard Baker had?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

People like Corker a lot.

Sheldon Whitehouse is someone lots of senators tell me nice things about on the other side of the aisle.

Coburn.

– June 27, 2014 11:32 AM
Q.

Mark Mayfield?

Um. Wow, Tea Party President commits suicide after runoff? Is this a movie?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Really, really sad.  

Here's the story for those who missed: http://www.clarionledger.com/story/news/2014/06/27/mark-mayfield-dead/11456769/

– June 27, 2014 11:33 AM
Q.

Mike Pence 2016

Sleeper candidate or candidate that makes you want to fall asleep?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Sleeper-ish.

Not sure he could raise the money or find a slot not already occupied by a Kasich/Walker type.

But Pence is a talented communicator.

– June 27, 2014 11:34 AM
Q.

Food

My son is lactose intolerant. What should we eat? Pizza is out.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Burgers.

DONE

– June 27, 2014 11:35 AM
Q.

KS Governer

Great thing about Gov races is that despite a states lean or partisan environment if people think you are a bad Governor you can and will lose. I think we'll see that with Illinois and Kansas, both i think are now tossups in November, interested in your thoughts
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yes.  The "wrong" party winning happens lots more in governors races than federal ones.
Wyoming had a two term Democratic governor. Prior to Deval Patrick, Republicans held the Massachusetts governorship for a decade.

That almost never happens at the federal level.

– June 27, 2014 11:36 AM
Q.

Dead broke

Somebody who is behind on bills and lost their job is dead broke. Somebody who owes a lot of money, but can make twice that per year is in debt. Even Hillary acknowledged that her original response was tone deaf. That much being said, her responses to questioning are getting better. If she runs (yeah, I know), she'll have worked out the kinks. Just look at Tiger after 9 holes.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

That is all correct.

– June 27, 2014 11:36 AM
Q.

If a future president

asked you to be his or her press secretary, would it be nay or yea?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Absolutely no way.

Of course, they would never ask.

– June 27, 2014 11:36 AM
Q.

VP candidate for Hillary

Gotta be an Hispanic. Hillary will fire up the women, an Hispanic will fire up the Hispanics. If the Dems increase the Hispanic turnout to merely the national average, they get a huge boost. Possible wave election.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Castro.

– June 27, 2014 11:36 AM
Q.

you DIDN'T like the Leftovers preview?

we are very different people, Chris Cillizza.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I am not watching some show about kids disappearing.

Same reason I hated that show I think that was on ABC this year about the kid coming back to his parents after 30 years.

No thank you.

– June 27, 2014 11:38 AM
Q.

2016 Factors

Do you think the IRS situation is going to have any effect on 2016?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

No. But it could further energize the GOP base coming into this year's midterms...

– June 27, 2014 11:38 AM
Q.

RE: MS SEN

It's an open primary. Those are not new or unique to Mississippi. If anything , losing MS shows the problem with Tea Party blowhards who think they know everything yet can't even win a runoff against Cochran.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

You play the game by the rules of the game.

– June 27, 2014 11:39 AM
Q.

Boozman

Should he be worried that Hillary at the top of ticket combined with Blanche Lincoln taking a shot at him, puts his seat in play?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Nope.

– June 27, 2014 11:39 AM
Q.

Cochran perfect game

It is funny you have used the Cochran perfect game analogy a couple of times while on the day of the runoff you had an entire article critical of the strategy not to use a commercial more!
A.
Chris Cillizza :

And in that article I noted that I could be wrong and they could be right.

And then I wrote an entire piece explaining why they were right and I was wrong.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/06/24/how-thad-cochran-won/

– June 27, 2014 11:40 AM
Q.

Barbour/DeMint

Are they headed towards an epic clash? 2016 presidential primary?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

No.  Neither will run.

But Rand Paul and Marco Rubio will...and that will be an epic clash of its own.

– June 27, 2014 11:40 AM
Q.

What you're watching

You ARE watching House of Cards, aren't you? I'm halfway through Season 2, it's pretty intense.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Um, no.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2013/08/29/why-i-hate-house-of-cards/

– June 27, 2014 11:41 AM
Q.

Why are more Americans into the World Cup this time?

I find myself caring about soccer for the first time ever and I don't know why.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I got into soccer a few years back.

It appeals to me largely because of the larger than life personalities.  It's basically an athletic soap opera with GIANT stakes.

– June 27, 2014 11:41 AM
Q.

RE: 2016 IL Sen

Duckworth or any other credible D won't be scared away by Kirk. The conservatism of national Republicans has pulled him more than he'll be able to withstand in a presidential cycle. And if Hillary is on the ticket, suburban women will turn out in record numbers.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Good point. Hillary at the top of the ticket would really help Democrats in an open seat situation in Illinois.

– June 27, 2014 11:42 AM
Q.

Politics

So, here's a question. Which election cycle, in your years in journalism, has been the most interesting/most fun to watch?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

2008. Not close.

– June 27, 2014 11:42 AM
Q.

WWIW

It's gotta be the Uruguayan ambassador, right? Or maybe all the Liverpool fans in DC.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

And Fix Jr. Who is a GIANT Luis Suarez fan.

– June 27, 2014 11:42 AM
Q.

Cantor vs. Gillespie

For Governor, Senator?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

If Gillespie loses the Senate race this year (and I think he does) then he runs for governor in 17. I am not sure what Cantor's next play is; it might take him longer than three years to rehab.

– June 27, 2014 11:43 AM
Q.

Orphan Black

Please get through it so you can enjoy the Clone Club Dance Party
A.
Chris Cillizza :

OK.

– June 27, 2014 11:43 AM
Q.

The View

Since they've axed Sherri Shephard and Jenny McCarthy, are you interested in a spot at the table with Whoopi? They need a male POV and you could opine on politics, fatherhood, tv, and soccer.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Ready and waiting.

– June 27, 2014 11:44 AM
Q.

Vegetable

If you were a vegetable what vegetable would you be and why?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Carrot. They make you smarter. Also, they are orange like my life mentor Tony Kornheiser.

– June 27, 2014 11:45 AM
Q.

Your Chats

Do you personally accept and reject questions submitted for your chats?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Nope. The one and only Jessica Stahl does that.

– June 27, 2014 11:47 AM
Q.

Strongest GOP 2016er

Has to be Rubio or Paul right now, right? They're the only two who have done actual work to expand the party's base
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think so. I'd put Walker in there too -- governor from the Midwest.

– June 27, 2014 11:47 AM
Q.

Sarah Palin third party

I mean really...would Sarah Palin really try to take Tea Partiers and start a third party?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Oh, who knows.

If she did, it would ensure Democrats would win the White House in 2016.

– June 27, 2014 11:48 AM
Q.

immigration reform isn't going to cost anyone their job

Right or wrong a lot of people look at Cantor and think he wasn't even on board and lost because of immigration reform!
A.
Chris Cillizza :

True that they do. But not sure that's entirely born out by the facts of the race.

– June 27, 2014 11:48 AM
Q.

RE: Pence

"Please run, Mike Pence!" -Oppo researchers everywhere, about the former talk radio host
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Know who else was a former talk radio host? Chris McDaniel.

– June 27, 2014 11:49 AM
Q.

Brave

I just want to commend you on having the courage to post your (high school?) year book photo.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yes, high school.

If you missed: http://k40.kn3.net/497A70E46.jpg

– June 27, 2014 11:50 AM
Q.

Work productivity during World Cup

Can FIFA please schedule games at night? Where were you yesterday at 1pm?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I was at work.  Laptop on lap, glued to the TV.

– June 27, 2014 11:50 AM
Q.

Rappers

If you could pick one rapper to spend the day with, who would you pick?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Q-Tip

– June 27, 2014 11:51 AM
Q.

Rahm in trouble?

It's still a ways off from here, but how much chance would you give to teachers union chief Karen Lewis, if she takes on Rahm in Chicago? He's raised a lot of $, but has abysmal poll numbers right now.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Hard to beat a sitting incumbent mayor.  They have tons of strings that can be pulled. And Rahm will not be taken by surprise.

– June 27, 2014 11:51 AM
Q.

Renaldo

Let's get down to important matters. Which hairstyle of his was best?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

All of them.

– June 27, 2014 11:51 AM
Q.

Ann Coulter

Ann Coulter said "No one whose Great-Grandfather was born in this country likes soccer" Where were your Great-Grandfathers born?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Italy!

– June 27, 2014 11:51 AM
Q.

Best moment of the NBA draft

Honorary pick by NBA of former Baylor star Isaiah Austin. Can we get NBA Commissioner Silver to run for office?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

It was outstanding.

But the best moment was that UCLA guy swearing/being pissed for getting drafted by the T-Wolves tied with Andrew Wiggins suit jacket.

– June 27, 2014 11:52 AM
Q.

Hillary

Percentage chance she runs and get the nomination? Has it moved at all given the not-so-great book tour, or is that just minor noise in the grand scheme of things?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

90% that she runs

85% that she is the nominee

Book tour has not been good.  But, who is going to beat her.

– June 27, 2014 11:53 AM
Q.

McDaniel Redux

News outlets in the state now reporting that McDaniel supporters are alleging that they've found examples of several hundred voters who voted in the Democratic primary yet also voted in the Republican runoff. Any substance to that, and if so, does that mean this insanity drags on longer?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

It will definitely go on longer.

But, remember that McDaniel lost by almost 7K votes.

– June 27, 2014 11:54 AM
Q.

Only politcal hacks

like you and tech nerds watch soccer. Rugby and sheepherding trials are the two toughest sports on the planet. They also have the best parties and the hottest women. Only thing worse than soccer is field hockey.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I know this "question" is entirely designed to make me angry.  Which it has.

– June 27, 2014 11:55 AM
Q.

Tea Party Condition

Fair, Serious, or Critical Condition?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Serious condition.  Guarded.

– June 27, 2014 11:56 AM
Q.

Nice Pic

Way to rock the giant specs!
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Thanks. It was all the rage back then. Actually, not at all.

– June 27, 2014 11:56 AM
Q.

Chris Cillizza :

That's all folks.  We do this every Friday but not next Friday because it's July 4th!

Enjoy the holiday week and root like hell for Team USA on Tuesday.

Chris

 

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