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May 30, 2014

11:02
A.M.

The Fix Live

Total Responses: 81

About the hosts

About the host

Host: Chris Cillizza

Chris Cillizza

Chris Cillizza is the managing editor of PostPolitics and he writes "The Fix," a politics blog for The Washington Post. He also covers the White House for the newspaper and website. Chris has appeared as a guest on NBC, CBS, ABC, MSNBC, Fox News Channel and CNN to talk politics. He lives in Virginia with his wife and sons.

About the topic

The Fix's Chris Cillizza discussed the latest in political news.

Follow @TheFix on Twitter.
Q.

Chris Cillizza :

Good Friday morning everyone!  

Eric Shinseki update: Not fired as of 11:01 am.

Let's do this thing.

Q.

Worst Week

Using a broad def of WWIW... has to be David Dewhurst. 2 years ago he was looking at a nice title to cap off his career as US Senator, now he has 2 huge loses in 2 years.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

A really really bad week and last two years for the Dew.

He went from being the odds-on favorite to be a U.S. Senator to getting 35% in a GOP runoff for his old job on Tuesday.

Greek. Tragedy. 

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/05/27/the-greek-tragedy-that-is-david-dewhursts-political-career/

– May 30, 2014 11:03 AM
Q.

Spelling Bee Tie

If they couldn't decide a winner on spelling, why not arm wrestle as a tie breaker?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I would have preferred a best 4 out of 7 rock, paper, scissors.  Or maybe a "first man over the top rope" type situation.

– May 30, 2014 11:04 AM
Q.

Congrats

The political media has managed to turn a complex issue like veterans' health care into a drama about whether someone in Washington will be fired. How did you get so get at trivializing important matters?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I get the feeling you don't really mean to congratulate me....

– May 30, 2014 11:04 AM
Q.

Shinseki

Can you explain to me why Obama seems so determined to keep Eric Shinseki in his cabinet, despite all evidence to the contrary that Shinseki is a bad administrator who doesn't know what is going on under his nose? What is the upside to retaining a political appointee in the face of an indefensible scandal where people died? I just don't understand why Obama is so stubborn about this. He is really so opposed to accountability for political appointees?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Oh, I don't think he's determined to keep Shinseki around. I think he is just waiting for the right time to let him go. And that right time could be during this chat.

– May 30, 2014 11:05 AM
Q.

MS Senate primary

I saw a poll pre-nursing home scandal (that showed McDaniel up 4--don't know how reliable though), but I have not seen any since that time. I'm rather surprised. Have you seen any? I would assume that Cochran has an edge going into Tuesday. Your take and prediction?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The Cochran people think they would have won without the nursing home thing but are a lot more confident after it.

I could have seen McDaniel winning pre-nursing home. I'd be very surprised if he won now.

– May 30, 2014 11:06 AM
Q.

Shinseki vs. Sebelius

Interesting how there's FAR more Democratic support for Shinseki stepping down than there was for Sebelius. What's your explanation?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

1. It's an election year

2. Veterans as an issue isn't even close to politicized like Obamacare

Check out this awesome post comparing Shinseki and Sebelius here: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/05/29/eric-shinseki-is-in-way-worse-shape-than-kathleen-sebelius-just-look-at-this-chart/

– May 30, 2014 11:07 AM
Q.

Iowa or Michigan

Which is the more likely Republican takeover in the Senate?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think Iowa ultimately.

– May 30, 2014 11:07 AM
Q.

The Wire

Chris, Did you see Edward Snowden's comments on The Wire, specifically his dislike of Season 2? I know you're a big Frank Sobatka fan. Have you gotten to the later seasons yet? Your public awaits your insightful commentary on Tommy Carcetti's political maneuverings!
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I grow to appreciate Season 2 more the longer removed I get from it.

– May 30, 2014 11:08 AM
Q.

WWIW, pretty close to home

Ann Hornaday sounds like a contender to me. Of course, she inadvertently made a point that isn't what Hollywood wants to hear: if they want to brag about how "influential" they are, in changing attitudes about race, etc., they have to consider that their influence might go awry as well.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think Ann had a great week. She started a conversation that needs to be had.

– May 30, 2014 11:09 AM
Q.

Dem VPs

VP options for Dems in 2016 -- Tim Kaine, Julian Castro, Cory Booker, Jay Nixon. Anybody else jump out?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Warner? 

– May 30, 2014 11:09 AM
Q.

Montana

Can Democrats turn the Montana Senate race into a real race, or is it too steep a hill to climb?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Very tough. Though out of MT, WV and SD, Montana is quite clearly the best opportunity for Democrats to hold.

– May 30, 2014 11:10 AM
Q.

Mississippi

McDaniel or Cochran? Who wins the weirdest primary of the year so far?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think Cochran. And this one is BY far the wackiest primary of the year.  The whole filming Cochran's infirm wife in her nursing home is one for the ages. And not in a good way.

– May 30, 2014 11:10 AM
Q.

Scott Brown

Do you understand the campaign he is running? If he loses, his political career is over, right?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

No. And yes.

Brown has been somewhat undisciplined on the trail. I feel like his chance is the political environment totally collapsing for Democrats this fall.

– May 30, 2014 11:11 AM
Q.

Chris Cillizza :

President Obama giving a Shinseki statement at 11:15 am. The end is here.

Q.

Marco Rubio

Assuming Jeb Bush stays out of the race, does Rubio really give up his Senate seat to run in 2016 for president?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yup. Because I think he has a real chance of being the nominee.

– May 30, 2014 11:12 AM
Q.

Mark Warner

Do you see the budget stalemate in Richmond possibly harming Mark Warner in November?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Nope.  Mark Warner is going to get re-elected unless the bottom drops totally out for Democrats nationally.

My guess is that Ed Gillespie would tell you that same thing if you asked him privately.

– May 30, 2014 11:14 AM
Q.

Eric Cantor

In real danger or just being extra cautious since Virginia primaries are notoriously low turnout affairs? Given the open nature of the Virginia primaries, do you see Democrats in the 7th district trying to muck things up for Cantor?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Extra cautious, I think.

– May 30, 2014 11:15 AM
Q.

Virginia

More likely to have a future in Virginia electoral politics -- Bill Bolling or Tom Davis?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Probably neither. But Davis by a nose.

– May 30, 2014 11:15 AM
Q.

Mark Udall

Why have Udall's fortunes sagged, while Hickenlooper seems to have rebounded?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Difference between running for state office and running for federal office. As a Senator, Udall feels the ups and down of the national party (and has to answer for them) much more than Hickenlooper.

– May 30, 2014 11:16 AM
Q.

Georgia

Kingston or Perdue? Who wins this thing? Who would Nunn rather face -- the long-time congressional incumbent who hasn't run a real race in awhile or the political novice, business outsider?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think she'd probably rather run against Kingston because he would make it easier to drive the outsider vs insider dynamic she wants.

Plus, Perdue is a wealthy businessman with no record.

– May 30, 2014 11:17 AM
Q.

Senate

Who is in more electoral danger this November -- Al Franken or Jeff Merkley?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Merkley

– May 30, 2014 11:17 AM
Q.

Chris Cillizza :

Shinseki update: President Obama has accepted his resignation.

Q.

World Cup picks

Only a few chats left to decide and promote....are you going to start a Fix World Cup pick 'em group on ESPN? Do it!
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I AM going to. This weekend.  What do I call it?

– May 30, 2014 11:19 AM
Q.

WWIW

it has to be Eric Shinseki again. If he is fired or forced to resign next week, would this be the first triple crown winner in worst week history?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Resigned. And, oh yeah, big time.  Back to back winner.

– May 30, 2014 11:19 AM
Q.

The Americans finale

Have you seen it yet? I felt like telling everyone I knew to watch the show if they aren't already.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I have two more episodes to watch! Mrs. Fix was in Spain for 8 days so I didn't want to watch them without her. (She gets pissed when I do that.)

But, I have heard tell that it's crazy.

– May 30, 2014 11:20 AM
Q.

What Your Last Name Says About Your Politics

If you search Cillizza it doesn't come up. Looks like someone was able to get there named blocked!
A.
Chris Cillizza :

No names that have less than 100 matches show up for privacy reasons. So, no Cillizza. Or Obama.

If you have no idea what they heck we are talking about, click this: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/05/29/what-your-last-name-says-about-your-politics/?tid=pm_politics_pop

– May 30, 2014 11:21 AM
Q.

Ear

Which competitor is most likely to blow in your ear to try to throw you off? My money's on Tapper.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Oh, definitely Tapper. That guy loves to talk smack.

– May 30, 2014 11:22 AM
Q.

Worst Week

Pretty obvious that Eric Shinseki wins Worst Week in Washington.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

CORRECT

– May 30, 2014 11:22 AM
Q.

Real Madrid

Were you cheering for Real Madrid on Saturday?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Nope. Atletico Madrid. I'm not rooting for any team with CR7 on it.

– May 30, 2014 11:22 AM
Q.

Miss.

0-100, what are McDaniels's chances on tuesday?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

37

– May 30, 2014 11:22 AM
Q.

You were in a movie?

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt2114461/?ref_=nm_flmg_act_3
A.
Chris Cillizza :

People do tell me that I look like Chris Klein. Either him or Brad Pitt.

– May 30, 2014 11:23 AM
Q.

Lance Stephenson

Just once I would like to see a politician step across the stage during a debate and blow in his opponenets ear. We need to spice up the debates in the future.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

It would be AMAZING.

I also want entrance music for the debates.

I have a whole list of stuff to make that awesomer....

– May 30, 2014 11:24 AM
Q.

Ben Carson for prez?

Guesstimate his chances at republican primary and general election.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Is there a number less than zero?

– May 30, 2014 11:24 AM
Q.

Worst Week in Washington

Worst Week in Washington: Erik Shinseki or Dan Snyder?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Snyder should call Shinseki and say thanks.

– May 30, 2014 11:24 AM
Q.

Over/Under for Shinseki

Considering we're due for a "Friday Night News Dump" story, what's the odds he's out as VA Sec by end of business today? I say 70%.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I say 100%.

– May 30, 2014 11:25 AM
Q.

Hill

So we are in the summer of 14. When do you think Hillary makes the announcment she is running. Or forming an exploratory committee? Seems to me she can wait the longest because she has 100% name recognition.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Next spring.

– May 30, 2014 11:25 AM
Q.

The Usual Questions

Where are you writing? What are you listening to? What are you drinking?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

My desk deep within Fix world HQ.

"The Beast In Its Tracks" by Josh Ritter.

Just polished off a venti chai tea latter. Extra hot. Like me.

– May 30, 2014 11:26 AM
Q.

Arsene Wenger

Signs a 3 year extension at Arsenal. Thoughts?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

He's an amazing manager.  How he deals with Giroud's hair, however, is the key question I want answered.

– May 30, 2014 11:26 AM
Q.

Cold links

Do you know why the web addresses you post show up as ordinary text rather than clickable links? Is there something I can do to change this. Very annoying, especially when following along on a tablet or phone rather than a computer.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I am posting this so my tech betters see it.

– May 30, 2014 11:26 AM
Q.

HOC VS West wing

I'm in favour of west wing, you? Also, reason for Obama statement at 11.15?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Don't love either but WW I suppose.

Also, terrific british spelling on favour.

– May 30, 2014 11:27 AM
Q.

Shinseki

Still not fired?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

FIRED

– May 30, 2014 11:27 AM
Q.

Crist vs Scott

The Herald called this race the meanest and costliest in the country. Do you agree? Considering Scott is willing to spend $100 million can Crist even compete?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Crist can raise money.  He is amazing at it. He probably gets outspent because Scott can fund the campaign himself.

But, yes, this one is going to be very very nasty. And expensive.

– May 30, 2014 11:28 AM
Q.

establishment pick for gop sans bush

rubio, christie, jindal, someone else?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Rubio/Walker/Christie in the top tier to my mind.

– May 30, 2014 11:28 AM
Q.

Maryland Gov

Who is the favorite in both parties to get the nomination.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

LG Anthony Brown for Dems.

It doesn't matter for Republicans.

– May 30, 2014 11:29 AM
Q.

Jerry Brown, another Governorship

Who 'da thunk it?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

It's an absolutely amazing story. That guy's life in politics is totally fascinating.

– May 30, 2014 11:29 AM
Q.

LA Clippers

How does that joke of a franchise go for 2 Billion?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

LA media market. And they have Chris Paul and Blake...

– May 30, 2014 11:29 AM
Q.

Resigned

Resigned
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Resigned.

– May 30, 2014 11:30 AM
Q.

Dem VP Candidate

Don't sleep on Charley Crist. He could make Hillary look genuine. Kind of like the Bernie Sanders campaign, where everything he does is designed to make Hillary seem like an accomplished centrist.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Read this: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/05/08/charlie-crist-didnt-leave-the-republican-party-because-of-racism-he-left-it-because-he-couldnt-win-a-primary/

– May 30, 2014 11:31 AM
Q.

Jack Kingston

If I'm a Republican I would rather have a tested Kingston run in November than an untested blank slate. We have watched this movie with the R's before and it hasn't ended well.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Fair enough.

– May 30, 2014 11:31 AM
Q.

Iowa

How much does the Pig Castrator need to win by to avoid a run-off?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

No runoff in Iowa...

– May 30, 2014 11:31 AM
Q.

The Jeb Index: VA Edition

What are the chances that Job Bush will run in 2016? What the likelihood Gen. Shinseki will have a job in the next hour?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The odds for  Jeb Bush candidacy are MUCH higher than Shinseki's for keeping his job. Because anything is more than 0.

– May 30, 2014 11:32 AM
Q.

Malcolm Glazer has passed away

He bought the Bucs, spent some money, kept out the spotlight, and brought them the Super Bowl. Jealous?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Always.  And u forgot about that other sports team he owned -- little soccer club known as Manchester United.

– May 30, 2014 11:32 AM
Q.

Just once I would like to see a politician step across the stage during a debate and blow in the opponents' ear.

I'm surprised Sarah Palin didn't try this with Joe Biden in 2008.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Or Biden with Paul Ryan in 2012!

– May 30, 2014 11:32 AM
Q.

WV Senate

Polling as Rep. Capito leading. Is this seat foregone or is there a foreseeable instance where Natalie Tennant catches up?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Close to over.

– May 30, 2014 11:33 AM
Q.

Red Viper vs. The Mountain that Moves

I think the Prince has something up his sleve. My money's on the Imp getting Aquittal by Combat.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Never bet against the Dornish.

– May 30, 2014 11:33 AM
Q.

Episode Watching

It seems you have the same problem I have- the wife gets pissed if you watch an episode without her. My dilema is the following- we watch, the wife falls asleep 10 minutes in. Do I continue to watch or turn it off and watch sports?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I have the reverse dilemma: I am the one who falls asleep.

Last night, I was watching the replay of Snowden with BriWi. Mrs Fix and the Fix mother-in-law both fell asleep. I quickly switched to Spurs-OKC.

– May 30, 2014 11:34 AM
Q.

Shinseki

You know, if this was Rome, he'd be throwing himself on his sword.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

If I was Shinseki, I would have walked into Obama's office and demanded a trial by combat.

– May 30, 2014 11:34 AM
Q.

Beware

Rumor has it that Lord Bezos is installing a moon door in your office.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

That would be SO amazing

"Make the little political blogger fly!"

– May 30, 2014 11:35 AM
Q.

June 3 Primaries

Beyond the Mississippi Mudsling, what other contests have been dirty?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

California primary between Ro Khanna and Rep. Mike Honda has been ROUGH.

– May 30, 2014 11:36 AM
Q.

Ben Carson

Has Ben Carson long held these views, or has he changed in recent years? If the latter, has he been tested for early-onset senility?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

And we now have a record for most Ben Carson questions in a chat!

– May 30, 2014 11:36 AM
Q.

West Wing

Wait- what? You don't love the West Wing? Why not?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Never got into it.

I know this is sacrilege.

– May 30, 2014 11:37 AM
Q.

We can rebuild him.

I mentioned the Six Million Dollar Man to my son's preschool teacher the other day, and she had no idea what I was talking about. Sigh. Man, I'm getting old.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I made a Max Headroom joke a few months ago. Blank looks.

– May 30, 2014 11:37 AM
Q.

"Resigned"

He wasn't walking out of the WH with his job, so when is a resignation a resignation?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

When you call it that.

– May 30, 2014 11:38 AM
Q.

Mark Dayton

Is he favored to win in November? He has never seemed to be very popular.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

He is. Minnesota is still a Democratic-leaning state and the GOP bench in the state is, to quote Charles Barkley, turrible.

– May 30, 2014 11:38 AM
Q.

Power Grab

How close are we to Fix Aaron taking control of The Fix?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

It's always a hair's breadth....

Running the Fix is like being the King of the Andals and the First Men. Not a long shelf life.

– May 30, 2014 11:39 AM
Q.

GOT

It is very amusing to watch people speculate about something that has already happened...
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Ah, the "Why don't you just read the books" crowd rears its head!

– May 30, 2014 11:39 AM
Q.

More Cowbell?

Think its time for more cowbell.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Always.

I've got a fever.

– May 30, 2014 11:39 AM
Q.

ARGO

Just watched it for the first time a few days ago. Hated it. The true part of that story was 6 Americans hid in the Canadian Embassy.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Loved it.

– May 30, 2014 11:40 AM
Q.

Pitt look-a-like

Be careful- you don't want to get punched on the red carpet like Brad.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Fair point.

– May 30, 2014 11:40 AM
Q.

Kingston and Perdue

Is Karen Handel's political career now dead?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Mostly dead, yes.

She's now lost statewide primaries for gov and Senate.

– May 30, 2014 11:41 AM
Q.

2012: The Greatest Year in Political Entertainment

With characters like Bachmann, Cain, Gingrich, and Santorum slugging it out on multiple debate stages, how is 2016 supposed to compete? Any chance Carson will actually run?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

You forgot Trump.

And we now have had THREE Ben Carson questions!

– May 30, 2014 11:41 AM
Q.

Almost a partner

Are you the Harry Crane of the WaPo newsroom?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I do have glasses. And I am nerdy.

– May 30, 2014 11:42 AM
Q.

Oregon and Virginia Senate

they're not really competitive are they? Warner has more money than God and the best reputation in the state and its Oregon for gods sake! Wehby can't win the Democrats she needs in a federal race to win statewide.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Not really. I could see a case for oregon coming on line as competitive before VA.

But both would need several things to go wrong for Republicans to have a real chance.

– May 30, 2014 11:42 AM
Q.

LT. Dan Patrick

The man is already 65 years old. He can't have much of a future past the LT. Gov position right?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Ageist!

– May 30, 2014 11:43 AM
Q.

Issa

I recently moved into his district and would like to not be represented by him. What are the odds of him losing his seat this year?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Is there a number lower than zero, I ask again.

– May 30, 2014 11:43 AM
Q.

Entrance music?

It's a short step to boxing-style candidate introductions. "Weighing in at 170 pounds... five feet ten inches... a graduate of the University of Delaware... three-time chairman of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations... The Delaware Kid... The Scranton Smiler... Joe "The Ladykiller" Biden!"
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I am telling you, this would work.

My attitude is this: These debates are already performances. (Do you think anyone can really explain how they would turn the nation's economy around in 45 seconds?) So, embrace it.

– May 30, 2014 11:44 AM
Q.

Shinseki fired

how did you know it would happen during the chat? Do you have psychic powers you haven't told us about?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Well, Obama met with him at 10:15. And they were going to emerge from that meeting sometime in the 11 o'clock hour...and it seemed hard to believe that Shinseki could stay around.

– May 30, 2014 11:45 AM
Q.

Chris Van Hollen

What is his next step? Does he wait to run for Senator/Governor, House Dem Leader, or nothing.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

He'd like to be in the Senate. But no obvious route there right now. I think he runs for a higher leadership position when Pelosi/Hoyer/Clyburn move on.

– May 30, 2014 11:46 AM
Q.

Ben Carson

How close are we to Ben Carson taking control of The Fix?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Getting closer.....

– May 30, 2014 11:46 AM
Q.

Three Ben Carson questions

If I ask you why there are so many Ben Carson questions, is that a fourth Ben Carson question, or is that the first Ben Carson question question?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

FIVE!

– May 30, 2014 11:46 AM
Q.

Republican Leadership Conference

Will you be attending or do The FIX junior staffers get the honor of listening to the exciting lineup of speakers?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Fix Aaron is in place!

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/05/29/the-duck-dynasty-guy-epitomizes-this-weekends-republican-leadership-conference/

– May 30, 2014 11:46 AM
Q.

Donald Trump

Is he going to be the next NY Gov, next owner of the Buffalo Bills, or both?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Both. Plus King of the Andals and the First Men.

– May 30, 2014 11:47 AM
Q.

ben carson

now that i have your attention, is there anyone who could run strongly as a social con in 16 other than the usual suspects (santorum, palin and huckabee)
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Ted Cruz.

– May 30, 2014 11:47 AM
Q.

Chris Cillizza :

Folks, I have to end the chat a little early...have to write some analysis on the Shinseki resignation for The Fix.

Check that out soon(ish).

And remember, we do this chat EVERY Friday at 11 am. Spread the word.

Chris

Q.

 

A.
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