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November 22, 2013

11:01
A.M.

The Fix Live

Total Responses: 71

About the hosts

About the host

Host: Chris Cillizza

Chris Cillizza

Chris Cillizza is the managing editor of PostPolitics and he writes "The Fix," a politics blog for The Washington Post. He also covers the White House for the newspaper and website. Chris has appeared as a guest on NBC, CBS, ABC, MSNBC, Fox News Channel and CNN to talk politics. He lives in Virginia with his wife and sons.

About the topic

The Fix's Chris Cillizza discussed the latest in political news.

Follow @TheFix on Twitter.
Q.

Chris Cillizza :

good morning!

Sorry about missing last week's chat. Mrs. Fix's Catholic U field hockey team played in the NCAA Sweet 16. They won that game to make it to the elite 8 and missed out on a final 4 appearance by a single goal. An amazing season.

I am back.  Sipping a grande gingebread latte, eating a bagel sandwich and listening to Josh Ritter. Life is good. Let's do this.

Q.

Analysis needed

On the strength of a suffocating defense, the CUA Cardinals made it to the Elite Eight for the first time in program history. That has to mean this year is a considerable success. And although goalkeeper Megan Comunale is graduating and leaves large pads to fill, every other member of the varsity should be back, so 2014 looks bright. Am I wrong about any of this?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

You are right about every word.

– November 22, 2013 11:03 AM
Q.

Cheney Drama

Hi Chris -- how do things look for Liz Cheney in the aftermath of the "I love my sister but" debacle? Does her position help her at all with voters, or is she so far behind it doesn't much matter?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think voters pay passing attention (at most) to stuff like this so far from an election. (The primary isn't until August 2014.)

But, the drama surrounding the Cheneys is no good for Liz Cheney.  I still don't understand why she is running. Enzi is a conservative who people generally like. I don't see why/how he loses.

– November 22, 2013 11:05 AM
Q.

The Cheneys

Airing dirty laundry in public seems a bit odd for a family so rooted in politics, right? This seems suspicious.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I am not sure it's much more complicated than a nasty family disagreement that has gone public.  But, it's really bad for a family that -- should -- know better.

– November 22, 2013 11:07 AM
Q.

Jerry Brown

Is a 2016 bid: 1) unlikely, 2) undeserved? I mean, he really has done an amazing job in California. I think he deserves a serious look and not just columns about 1992.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Um, no.

– November 22, 2013 11:07 AM
Q.

Conspiracy theorist

Are you one? I hope not, and I'm ashamed so many Americans are. Rather than mourning someone's death, we buy books and watch movies that appeal to our imagination. Yes, the truth is the most important thing, but at some point people should respect it.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I am not AT ALL.

But, I am intrigued by those who are. I listened to the Bill Simmons podcast with Chuck Klosterman and Chris Connelly about JFK's assassination and was totally captivated.

– November 22, 2013 11:08 AM
Q.

Virginia senate

The Cooch is talking about taking on Warner in 2014. If he could beat a flower opponent like the Macker in 2013, what makes him think he could beat someone as popular and well established as Warner?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The way he would win: Obamacare is an anchor around all Democrats' necks -- up to and including the uber popular Warner.

– November 22, 2013 11:08 AM
Q.

Michigan Senate

Does Terri Lynn Land have much of a chance against Gary Peters?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

See my response above. If Obamacare pushes the environment in a bad place for Democrats nationally, then yes. If the national wind is barely blowing, Peters is a favorite.

– November 22, 2013 11:09 AM
Q.

Virginia Governor 2017

Who do you think runs for the Democrats in 2017? Northup or Herring?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Maybe both.

On the R side, is is Bolling? Obenshain?

– November 22, 2013 11:09 AM
Q.

Rubio

Odds he loses his Senate race? No threeway race or, most likely, a Tea Party wave to help him this time. Shoudn't he be worried more about Florida than Iowa?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Not high.  Possible but doesn't seem likely to me.

– November 22, 2013 11:10 AM
Q.

Supreme Court

Why not change the rules for Supreme Court nominations?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Because that would be seen as a MASSIVE change and Reid didn't want that.

But, as I weote yesterday, Pandora's box is now open. If you think the simple majority rule change will only ever be applied to judicial and executive branch nominees, you haven't been paying much attention.

Here's my piece from yesterday: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2013/11/21/how-the-senate-became-the-house-in-4-steps/

– November 22, 2013 11:12 AM
Q.

Worst Week

Trey Radel, obvs. We've never been more proud of our congressman. In fact, we're going to put up a plaque at FGCU. Have you heard of FGCU?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

DUNK CITY IS NOT A REAL PLACE.

But, you are right about Radel. See here: http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/who-had-the-worst-week-in-washington-rep-trey-radel-r-fla/2013/11/22/e3029194-52fd-11e3-9e2c-e1d01116fd98_story.html

– November 22, 2013 11:12 AM
Q.

Filibuster

I have a faint memory of a certain Senator from Illinois in 2005 saying that doing away with the filibuster will hurt the country and promote partisanship..... Apparently that senator is very upset with our President.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Every Senate leader has been on both sides of this issue. You hate the filibuster when you are in the majority and gview it as part of the farbic of the Senate itself when you are in the minority.

I tend to think this is a massive change in the way the Senate will do business going forward. But, I guess we'll have to see how far Republicans are willing to push it when they get into the majority.

– November 22, 2013 11:14 AM
Q.

Worst Week

My pick for Worst Week in Washington was Trey Radel.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

You were right.

– November 22, 2013 11:16 AM
Q.

Reid

So this must mean he's going to retire, right? I mean, I can't see him putting up with this when he's in the minority.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Well, I think he hasn't made his mind up yet. I do think it is evidence that he told the younger members that this would jam them to no end if they got into the minority and they were ok with it.

We are in a different age of politics. This confirms it.

– November 22, 2013 11:17 AM
Q.

Godzilla

Did you get Godzilla jokes when you were a kid?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Did.

– November 22, 2013 11:17 AM
Q.

Charlie Crist

Likelihood that Charlie Crist is elected Governor of Florida?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

50-50?  Maybe slightly better?

Crist has two things that no other "Democrat" has in the state: universal name ID and the ability to raise tons of money.

In a state like Florida where it is so hard and expensive to get known, that's critically important. Rick Scott's numbers are bad but there is SO MUCH to used against Crist.

– November 22, 2013 11:19 AM
Q.

Disconnect

I don't get how national reporters projecting the Republican 2016 field miss things like Wisconsin Republicans passing abortion bills. You can't say Walker, et al are rebranding when they're doing the same things that turned off the same groups they lost.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

We don't miss them.  I just think that if Walker wins, he has a very good resume to present to Republican primary voters in 2016.  

– November 22, 2013 11:21 AM
Q.

Scary thought

Imagine an assassination today. Half of Twitter would be celebrating. Ugh.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Am glad Twitter didn't exist then. Imagine the misinformatiom? Holy cow.

– November 22, 2013 11:21 AM
Q.

Nuclear Option

Didn't the GOP bring this on themselves for constantly holding up everything in the Senate. They even delayed the non controversial picks for the courts.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

That depends on how you look at the numbers. I asked the Reid and McConnell offices to send me the one chart that made their case best on the nuclear option. This is what I got: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2013/11/21/heres-the-nuclear-option-debate-explained-in-two-charts/

– November 22, 2013 11:22 AM
Q.

Worst Week in Washington

Mike Shanahan. If there is one thing that unites Republicans and Democrats in Washington, it's that Shanahan has to go.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

What about RGIII? That interception was TERRIBLE.

– November 22, 2013 11:23 AM
Q.

Arlen Specter

Just heard a conspiracy theorist say Specter was rewarded with a lifetime Senate seat because he came up with the single bullet theory. This is sad.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

WHAT????

– November 22, 2013 11:23 AM
Q.

McDonalds

When you stop in for a McRib, you better not complain. That's all I'm saying.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Fair.

– November 22, 2013 11:23 AM
Q.

2014

Will the Dems hold the Senate?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

It will be tough if Obamacare remains such a bad issue for them.

Already we have seen polls over the last 48 hours in Colorado and Louisiana that show Democratic incumbents struggling under the weight of the negative impressions of the Affordable Care Act.

If that keeps up, it's hard to imagine people like Mark Pryor or even Mark Begich winning

– November 22, 2013 11:25 AM
Q.

Senate becomes House

Does anyone sensible believe the Senate establishment leadership has "the guts" to do the nuclear thing against Dems after 2014? Need new blood.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Oh, I think if Republicans re-take the Senate majority in 2014, younwill absolutely see Republicans use the rule change to their advantage.

McConnell is a traditionalist but also a pragmatist.

– November 22, 2013 11:26 AM
Q.

Game of Thrones

Winter is coming?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The night is dark. And full of terrors.

http://www.hbo.com/game-of-thrones

– November 22, 2013 11:26 AM
Q.

Am glad Twitter didn't exist then. Imagine the misinformatiom?

I wish it didn't exist now. No imagining about misinformation needed.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

It is a mixed blessing. I love the ability to have so much access to so many people and so much information. The nastiness directed at people you have never met is a little much.

– November 22, 2013 11:28 AM
Q.

mcrib

McRib is back? Why are we here???
A.
Chris Cillizza :

http://www.buzzfeed.com/ryanhatesthis/this-is-unfortunately-what-a-frozen-mcrib-looks-like

– November 22, 2013 11:28 AM
Q.

Would it have been smarter...

for the Republicans to have confirmed one or two of the nominees to the circuit court? Then they could have demonstrated how reasonable they were. Did they simply overplay their hand? Or have the Democrats?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

It's a big gamble on both sides. I think Reid simply got fed up with the blocking tactics and became convinced that the only way to change things would be to change the rules.

McConnell let him do it, understanding that when Republicans re-take the majority they can use the rule change to their advantage.

– November 22, 2013 11:30 AM
Q.

Radel

How did nobody at that presser ask if he was going to resign? Were all the reporters asleep due to the late hour?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I have NO idea. Why didn't anyone ask him how many times he had used and/or bought cocaine in the past? Or how long his leave of absence might be?

Not exactly one shining moment for the southwest Florida press corps.

– November 22, 2013 11:30 AM
Q.

Broken Amity

Exactly how much worse could the Senate GOP get? Were the Dems supposed to wait until the crackpot brigade regained a majority and tore away this tattered fig leaf themselves?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

That's the Reid line of thought.

My answer: People like Susan Collins, Bob Corker, McCain etc. who might have been willing to work with Democrats likely won't do that now.  The well has been fully poisoned. 

Of course, it's possible that those Republicans might not have worked with Democrats regardless of what Reid did...

– November 22, 2013 11:33 AM
Q.

When you take off your glasses...

and put on a red cape, why does nobody recognize you anymore?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I wonder the same..

– November 22, 2013 11:33 AM
Q.

The Fix

Could you ever see yourself in the future becoming an opinion writer? I ask because (not to suck up or anything) The Fix site on you seem to be non partisan in my opinion.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Nah. I don't really view politics like that. I love what I do. And we have some really exciting stuff coming...stay tuned.

– November 22, 2013 11:34 AM
Q.

McRib

Does the McRib taste good with mayonnaise on it?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I just threw up in my mouth a little.

– November 22, 2013 11:34 AM
Q.

Filibuster

I am surprised the Democrats did this. If I'm the Republicans, I now feel free to change the rules on the Supreme Court, or needing 51 votes to repeal Obamacare in 3 years. What do you think?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yup.  I mean, we don't know what Democrats or Republicans will do going forward -- it's possible they will limit it to non SCOTUS judicial nominees and executive branch appointments. But, probably not.

– November 22, 2013 11:35 AM
Q.

Twitter

I'm still reeling from the fact that you blocked me and Tawny Kitaen unfollowed.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Wow. Tough week.

– November 22, 2013 11:36 AM
Q.

"He repeatedly referred to her as his 'rock'"

HA! I get it
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I thank you.

– November 22, 2013 11:36 AM
Q.

RE: Charlie Crist

I don't see him winning. I can already picture the commercials in a Dem Primary, showing his past statements opposing abortion and same sex marriage. He is as flawed as a candidate can be.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

But, he doesn't have any serious opposition in the D primary...

– November 22, 2013 11:36 AM
Q.

Talents

Where have your talents taken you this morning?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The 5th floor of WaPo. And, if you are wondering whether I am livestreaming the Christopher Newport vs Bowdoin D 3 Final 4 game while I do this chat, you shouldn't be. Because I am.

– November 22, 2013 11:38 AM
Q.

Liz Cheney

I never understood why Liz Cheney didn't run in her home state of Virginia. My sense is that her extremism could never get her elected in a swing state.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Wyoming, generally, gives her a better chance of winning. If she can win the GOP primary, she is a shoo-in for the general election. I am not so sure she can win the primary though....

– November 22, 2013 11:39 AM
Q.

Vikings

What is wrong with the Minnesota Vikings?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

They have 14 QBs. I am just waiting for Fix Aaron to come tell me he is headed back to his home state to QB the Vikes.

– November 22, 2013 11:40 AM
Q.

X-Mas gift

My aunt asked me last weekend what she could get me for Christmas. My answer: A book called "The Gospel According to the Fix"... Was this a wise decision?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Um, very wise. And let me help you aunt. She just needs to click this link and then buy 100 or so: http://www.amazon.com/The-Gospel-According-Fix-Insiders/dp/0307987094

– November 22, 2013 11:41 AM
Q.

McRib

The mayonnaise question begs this one: Does it taste good under ANY circumstances?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

It does not.

– November 22, 2013 11:41 AM
Q.

White House & the nuclear option

Do you have any sense of to what degree the White House was involved in Reid engaging in the nuclear option? Short-term gain for long-term pain?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Oh, I think they were fine with it. More than fine. If the White House had been against it, it wouldn't have happened.

– November 22, 2013 11:42 AM
Q.

2014

I've never been one of those people who says it's too early to wonder about 2014 (or 2016...), but I have to think that it's actually too early to make predictions because we've reached a point where too much can change between now and then. What if the GOP snatches back the bad-press football with another ruinous blow-up over the debt ceiling? What if Clinton, inexplicably, starts acting like she's not just the presumptive nominee but the presumptive president? What if either party were actually to come up with some sort of good-government legislation on, well, anything? The headwinds shift too quickly these days.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

That is absolutely true. Especially now with Twitter and the rapid pace that EVERYTHING moves.

To your "it's never too early" point, I was talking about the 2022 Texas governor's race last night...could be a great one.

– November 22, 2013 11:43 AM
Q.

The Fix on holiday

Will you be holiday shopping on Black Friday? (Heaven forbid, NOT on Thanksgiving though.)
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The Fix will be helping Mrs. Fix do some field hockey recruiting on Thanksgiving. As always.

– November 22, 2013 11:44 AM
Q.

Mayonnaise

True or false, this is the worst invention of all time?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

True. Golly I hate it so much. Even thinking about it makes me want to vom.

– November 22, 2013 11:44 AM
Q.

Radel

What are the chances Connie Mack IV comes back for his seat?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

HMMM. Not bad...

– November 22, 2013 11:45 AM
Q.

RGIII

He won't even be a franchise QB in 2 years and the hero worship from last year-up until last week will look absurd.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Not sure it's that dire. I think he remains very good but the Skins seem cursed.

– November 22, 2013 11:45 AM
Q.

Kennedy Coverage

From The Department Of Thank You For That: This week an intern at work asked me where I was when Kennedy was shot. It happened 15 months before I was born.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The people who work with me at Post TV think I was born before the invention of cars.

– November 22, 2013 11:45 AM
Q.

Overrated

Doom and gloom of Obamacare in 2014 is overrated. As the next QB of the Minnesota Vikings points out: "@AaronBlakeWP 32% say Obamacare will make them worse off -- the same % as said that in 2010"
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Fair enough. I mean, that guy is going to be quarterbacking an NFL team this weekend...

– November 22, 2013 11:46 AM
Q.

Senate Democratic firewall

Of all the states that are obviously in play, which one do you think Democrats have the best chance of holding onto? I think Louisiana will be the toughest for Republicans.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Do you consider Colorado in play?

I think Alaska and North Carolina are the toughest for GOPers to win today of the seats that we all expect to have close races.

– November 22, 2013 11:47 AM
Q.

If 2014 is a bad Democratic year

Are senate states like Michigan, Minnesota or Oregon in play potentially?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Michigan yes. I remain unconvinced in Oregon and Minnesota. Colorado for sure.

– November 22, 2013 11:47 AM
Q.

KY or GA

Which state do you think Dems have a better chance of picking up a Senate seat?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

GA.

– November 22, 2013 11:47 AM
Q.

Kennedy Assasination

I must say I'm shocked that nearly 60% of Americans still think a conspiracy was at work. Not even speaking of the ballistic evidence which is overwhelming, but the fact it's been 50 years, and nothing credible has come out that would lead to another conclusion other than Oswald.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I was STUNNED at that poll.  STUNNED. http://www.usatoday.com/story/theoval/2013/11/17/john-kennedy-assassination-conspiracy-theories-gallup/3618431/

– November 22, 2013 11:48 AM
Q.

Poisoned well

Clearly there aren't five reasonble Republicans in the Senate, or there wouldn't have been such a problem. Not much respect left for your examples, i.e. Collins, Corker, McCain. Where have they been?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Well, "reasonable" doesn't necessarily mean that they should be requirted to support President Obama's judicial and executive branch picks, right?

– November 22, 2013 11:49 AM
Q.

Tipping point

What would it take for Hillary to run and the media to consider her vulnerable?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think the second she announces she's running her numbers startg dropping and all of the old doubts -- is she too cautious, is she too moderate -- resurface.  My issue is that there doesn't seem to be a candidate -- outside of Elizabeth Warren -- who could make a real case against Clinton. At least at this point.

– November 22, 2013 11:50 AM
Q.

Senate composition in January 2015?

What's your best guess? 50R/50D? 51R/49D? 51D/49R?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Today? I think if election were held today Democrats would lose the Senate because of the toxicness of Obamacare and the President in a lot of the states represented by Democratic incumbents.

But, it's not. And in a year's time who knows what the natiopnal environment looks like then?

– November 22, 2013 11:51 AM
Q.

La. Senate

on a scale from 0 - 10, 0 = safe, 10 = toast, how vulnerable is Landrieu?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

A month ago I would have said 5. Now? 7.5 and maybe 8.

– November 22, 2013 11:51 AM
Q.

Recruiting

Are the rules governing recruiting for field hockey as stringent as for some other sports? (i.e., limit on number of calls and texts to recruits, when contacts can be made, official vs. unofficial visits) Precisely what is your role in recruiting? This is intriguing.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

My role in recruiting is taking care of the kids so Mrs. Fix can do it.

– November 22, 2013 11:52 AM
Q.

Going Nuclear

Wise and thinking ten steps ahead, or incredibly short-sighted?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I don't think anyone -- even Reid -- couyld know what all the implications might be from changing the rules. This really is a major moment in Senate history and one that could change lots and lots of things about how legislation moves in the chamber. 

– November 22, 2013 11:53 AM
Q.

Fix Nuclear Option

Has Fix Aaron unleashed the nuclear option to get control of The Fix?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Not yet. But he keeps threatening it...

– November 22, 2013 11:53 AM
Q.

2016

A half hour in, and no 2016 question who are we?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I agree. This is SHAMEFUL!

Though, I did take a few since the half hour mark...

– November 22, 2013 11:54 AM
Q.

Georgetown Hoops

Not a very talented squad and not the competition that previously helped the Hoyas' SOS and RPI. I wouldn't be surprised if Georgetown is playing in the NIT.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Lost to Northeastern yesterday. We are not very good. At all. I am sticking with rooting for the far more successful Catholic U field hockey team full time.

– November 22, 2013 11:54 AM
Q.

Staying power

On a scale of 1-10, with 10 being certitutude, how likely does it seem that the Obamacare debacle will be a huge issue in midterms? How about the Shutdown? I assume there will be some continuing Obamacare issues, but it's hard to think of an issue (other than the economy generally) that stays in the headlines for a year.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

6.75.

I think it will absolutely be an issue. I am less certain it will be  HUGE issue.

– November 22, 2013 11:55 AM
Q.

huntsman

The Huntsman is going to be in Nh on Monday, does this mean anything?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

He likes real maple syrup on his pancakes?

– November 22, 2013 11:55 AM
Q.

In my head

I keep hearing Ryan Adams' "Nuclear." Which is much more pleasant than reality.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I love that tune.

– November 22, 2013 11:56 AM
Q.

What's this about

Paul Muad´dib and his Fremen army overthrowing the emperor? Impossible!
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Um....is this even in English?

– November 22, 2013 11:56 AM
Q.

2016 Entertainment Value

Which Republican would put on the best show in the debates if Democrats pick Hillary? (so many good choices here...)
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Rand. Maybe Cruz.  Perry?

– November 22, 2013 11:56 AM
Q.

""reasonable" doesn't necessarily mean that they should be requirted to support President Obama's judicial and executive branch picks, right?"

Yes, it does, provided there's no substantive reason not to.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

And you know that they have no "substantive" reason not to?

– November 22, 2013 11:56 AM
Q.

Kay Hagen

I have always viewed her as an accidental senator. In that everything had to go right for her to win, like Elizabeth Dole visiting the state a Dozen times while she was in office. Many analyst seem to think she will win in 2014, how do you see her chances?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Less strong than they were a month ago.

– November 22, 2013 11:57 AM
Q.

Anti-mayo

Here is the definitive anti-mayo movie clip. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s-BvYyfi358
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I don't understand how there is anyone who is pro-mayo.

– November 22, 2013 11:57 AM
Q.

Chris Cillizza :

And, scene! 

That's all for this week folks. Remmeber we do this every Friday at 11 am. Spread the word!

Chris

Q.

 

A.
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