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August 2, 2013

11:01
A.M.

The Fix Live

Total Responses: 68

About the hosts

About the host

Host: Chris Cillizza

Chris Cillizza

Chris Cillizza is the managing editor of PostPolitics and he writes "The Fix," a politics blog for The Washington Post. He also covers the White House for the newspaper and website. Chris has appeared as a guest on NBC, CBS, ABC, MSNBC, Fox News Channel and CNN to talk politics. He lives in Virginia with his wife and sons.

About the topic

The Fix's Chris Cillizza discussed the latest in political news.

Follow @TheFix on Twitter.
Q.

Chris Cillizza :

Hello everyone! Congress is gone from Washington until September. How will you make it through this long dark tea time of your political soul? Two words: "In Play".

That's the new show Jackie Kucinich and I are hosting on Post TV.  Bookmark this link: http://www.washingtonpost.com/posttv/c/show/inplay

Q.

Chris Christie v. Rand Paul

Who is more of a winner in the spat between Christie and Paul? Marco Rubio or Ted Cruz?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think they, basically both win since they are competing for different elements of the Republican party at the moment.

I have heard a little chatter that Christie's willingness to go after a fellow Republican so quickly didn't sit well with some in the GOP community...

– August 02, 2013 11:05 AM
Q.

Flipping the House

Hi Chris -- thanks for taking questions today. With the House Republicans appearing more dysfunctional by the day, have the odds that the Democrats could win in 2014 just increased? Or despite everything, will the Republicans hang on? Or maybe this is a more basic question -- will voters blame both parties evenly and so the status quo remains?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

It's hard for Democrats because redistricting in 2010 made so many safe seats. Of course, national waves are possible -- 2006, 2008 and 2010 were all wave elections -- but it's hard to see a wave building this far out.

So, Republicans are likely locked into their majority -- barring such a major wave -- for much of the decade.

– August 02, 2013 11:09 AM
Q.

South Carolina

Nancy Mace is set to primary Lindsey Graham, do you sense that she is a real threat?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yes. We are working on a piece for "In Play" today focused on the fact that Lindsey may be in real trouble now.

Remember that South Carolina has a runoff law. That means that if Lindsey can't get 50 percent in the primary, an increasingly likely prospect as the field gets more crowded, he has to face the second highest vote getter in a runoff.

In a one v one showdown, he could well lose.

– August 02, 2013 11:11 AM
Q.

Rubio #1?!

Rubio is totally overrated. His one statewide victory was in a weird threeway race. His base is mad at him about CIR. You might've liked his RNC speech but he blew it in front of a more diverse audience with the water thing (which is probably the only thing most people even vaguely know about him thanks to late night TV). Even if you discount the SOTU response, you still have nothing to appeal to primary voters.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I agree that Rubio is a weak #1 in our GOP 2016 power rankings.

But, who should be there? Christie? Paul? Scott Walker? All have at least as many hurdles as Rubio to the nomination.

Here's our latest rankings: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2013/07/26/libertarianism-and-the-coming-republican-political-war/

– August 02, 2013 11:13 AM
Q.

Mitch McConnell

He faces both a serious primary challenge and a hotly contested re-election campaign. How is that going to affect his role in the Senate?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Well, he won't be cutting any more deals with Joe Biden like he did opn the fiscal cliff at the end of 2012.

McConnell remains a favorite to return to Washington but his path got a LOT more difficult in the last 3 weeks or so.

– August 02, 2013 11:14 AM
Q.

Sad News about the Hoya Bulldog

But really, shouldn't the mascot be something like a Chihuahua? You know, it seems ferocious when there's nothing at stake, but it can easily be defeated by a bird like a Gulf Coast Eagle.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

This hurts. Bad. And yet I have no comeback.

When I become emperor, the words "Dunk City" will be banned forever.

– August 02, 2013 11:15 AM
Q.

Incumbent Republican

What's more likely--McConnell loses in the general or Graham loses in the primary?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Graham in the primary. I think he's in serious trouble.

– August 02, 2013 11:15 AM
Q.

Cory Booker

Do you take him at his word that he's not running for president?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yes-ish.

I wrote about it this week. My argument: ALL politicians say they aren't going to run until they decide they do. See Obama, Barack.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2013/08/01/cory-booker-says-he-wont-run-for-president-in-2016-and-we-believe-him-sort-of/

– August 02, 2013 11:16 AM
Q.

Most Beautiful

Snubbed again, eh? Maybe go with contacts for next year.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

There must be a glasses-bias. it's the only explanation that makes any sense.

And, I am still waiting for the 50 most beautiful people (on the inside) list. I sure as hell better make that one.

– August 02, 2013 11:17 AM
Q.

In Play-more info

When does it get posted (or Posted, if you will)? How long is each episode? When do the Team Chris and Team Jackie shirts go on sale?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

We tape at 3.  Usually by 5 all of the clips for the day are up. We will broadcast live at 3 at some point soon-ish.

And, we are TOTALLY getting Team Chris and Team Jackie shirts made up.

– August 02, 2013 11:18 AM
Q.

Arkansas Senate Race

Mark Pryor, he has to announce he is not running in 2014 right?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think it's a real possibility, yes. The race was already hard before Rep. Tom Cotton (R) got in. Now, it's that much tougher.

– August 02, 2013 11:20 AM
Q.

Bob Filner

A San Diego story? Or one with broader national ramifications?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The longer he stays in office, the more national a story it becomes.

– August 02, 2013 11:20 AM
Q.

Scott Walker

He won in a wave year and didn't win again-people voted against a recall, not the same thing. He only won because of the Koch Brothers, but he'd be on an even (at best) fundraising field in a 2016 primary. Forget him as a serious contender, Chris.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I disagree. Say what you will about his 2010 win but beating back a recall with the entirety of the national Democratic establishment lined up against him was remarkable. And the fact that he looks like a strong favrotie to win nxt November in a D-leaning state like Wisconsin?

I understand people have very strong feeling about Walker. But you shouldn't let those feelings get in the way of the fact that the guy has built a pretty damn impressive political resume.

– August 02, 2013 11:22 AM
Q.

Obama's job approval

Obama's job approval has been falling slightly this summer. But there's no obvious reason why. The "scandals" have fizzled. The economy keeps growing, albeit slowly. Do you have an explanation?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Second term fatigue...it's hard for a president to sustain any extended period of popularity in a country thsat is so divided along party lines.

– August 02, 2013 11:23 AM
Q.

Tom Corbett

Could he decide not to run for re-election? Could he get a primary challenge? If so, from whom?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

He could. I have heard some buzz about Sen. Pat Toomey (R) running but not sure if that is real or wwishful thinking by PA Republicans worried that Corbett could cost them the seat.

Corbett's numbers are abysmal. No question about that.

– August 02, 2013 11:24 AM
Q.

Santorum 2.0

Who, if anyone, is going to be the social conservative of choice in 2016? And I know Santorum is headed to Iowa, but name a different candidate if he or she is out there.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Scott Walker.

– August 02, 2013 11:24 AM
Q.

Metro Baby

On the off chance you were slumming it and actually taking the Metro, would you help deliver a stranger's baby?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

For the stranger and the baby's sake, I would get as far away as possible.

– August 02, 2013 11:25 AM
Q.

Christie's talk

There is such a thing as being too brash. It doesn't seem presidential. Who was the last winning presidential candidate who was the brash, tough talker?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Hey! We wrote about just that question on the Fix today.

I think Christie walks a fine line between brash and bully. Most of the time it works in his favor but I do wonder how his tough guy schtick would wear day in and day out in places like Iowa and South Carolina.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2013/08/02/chris-christies-ego-the-thin-line-between-brash-and-bully/

– August 02, 2013 11:26 AM
Q.

Talents

Where have you taken your talents this morning?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

PostTV HQ.  It's all Ikea sleekness and creative energy.

– August 02, 2013 11:26 AM
Q.

Worst Week

My money is on the trio of Mike Lee, Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz for bluffing about a government shutdown without counting the votes. Kevin McCarthy would be proud of their vote counting.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Who is your pic?  Tune into "Post TV" for answers!

http://t.co/RsZscOqlXX

– August 02, 2013 11:28 AM
Q.

Rubio

Is he really still at the top of your list for getting the Republican nomination? Immigration seems to be a huge albatross around his neck, and I'm not sure that being relatively young and Hispanic are highly valued attributes among Republican primary voters.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

See above. I agree immigration is going to be a problem for him. But who unseats him for the top spot? I couldn't make a strong enough case to justify moving Rubio down.

– August 02, 2013 11:28 AM
Q.

ALG vs Mitch McC

Hey Fix, love In Play! Question -- does ALG really have a chance in KY? Vs. Matt Bevin, sure, but vs. McConnell? What do you think?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Thanks!

I think ALG needs a lot of things to go right to win. Bevin needs to be real and spend real money banging on McConnell for the next many months.

And then she needs to be the ALG of her 2nd announcement for Senate, not her first. And hope that the McConnell attack machine hasn't dug up anything really good.

– August 02, 2013 11:29 AM
Q.

McConnell 14 v Reid 10

Differences and similarities between McConnell '14 and Reid '10. Go.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Reid actually started off in a worse place in terms of polls. BUT, there's no evidence that ALG is Sharron Angle.

There are way more similarities than differences between the two though.

– August 02, 2013 11:30 AM
Q.

Rick Perry

Is Rick Perry 2.0 possible, or is he such damaged goods that Republican voters won't give him a second chance? It was really astounding the way he imploded last time -- he looked like an ideal Republican candidate (and potentially a good general election candidate) on paper.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I don't think so. But, he does.

– August 02, 2013 11:30 AM
Q.

Lindsey Graham primary challenge

Two polar opposite GOP candidates look like they'll announce a primary challenge to Lindsey Graham in SC. Sure, Lindsey's a good punching bag, but do you really think he's going anywhere? -Sam in Charleston
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Runoff is the key.  

The more iudeologically diverse choices GOP primary voters have, the more likely it is that it goes to a runoff. And that is very problermatic for Lindsey.

– August 02, 2013 11:31 AM
Q.

First things First

Where are you, Who are you listening to? What are you drinking? What color is your parachute?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Slugged down a grande mocha. Now onto water.

Soundtrack: "Beast In Its Tracks" by Josh Ritter. My fav album of 2013 so far.

I don't parachute.

– August 02, 2013 11:32 AM
Q.

No beautiful fixes?

How can the Hill do this to you?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I have been asking myself that question for the last 72 hours.

– August 02, 2013 11:32 AM
Q.

Congress

Congress is on vacation? That must be a punchline. I didnt know they were actually working.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

ZING

– August 02, 2013 11:32 AM
Q.

True or False

If Bob Filner were Mayor of NYC or DC, instead of only the 8th largest city in the country, he would be on the national news 24/7?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think so.

– August 02, 2013 11:32 AM
Q.

Post TV

Why does that sound like it's sposored by a breaakfast cereal?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Hey, if a breakfast cereal wants to sponsor us great! Fix Jr is a big fan of Crispix. I am more of a Great Grains guy myself.

– August 02, 2013 11:33 AM
Q.

Tussle in Kentucky

Do you think McConnell is in any real danger? Lundergan Grimes has proven that she can win a statewide race in Kentucky... and she has fire in the belly, if this week is any indication.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yes, he is. And he and his people -- to their credit -- know it.

Fancy Farm is this weekend. Must watch for people who love politics. http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20130801/NEWS010605/308010110

– August 02, 2013 11:34 AM
Q.

Worst Week in Washington

May I nominate Mich McConnell, who is 2 points below his democrat opponent oin the first poll?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

You may.

– August 02, 2013 11:34 AM
Q.

South Carolina

Is there a credible Democrat who might run for the Lindsey Graham seat, basically hoping that he'll lose?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I was thinking about that this morning...no one that I know of but Democrats would be smart to find someone credible in the event Graham loses and a candidate with appeal to the center wins the primary.

– August 02, 2013 11:35 AM
Q.

Arod

Let him get suspended. What a complete fraud.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Agree. I am done with him.

– August 02, 2013 11:35 AM
Q.

Nikki Haley

Speaking of South Carolina drama, how much trouble is Nikki Haley in?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

She has a real race and Vincent Sheheen, who ran in 2010, is a proven candidate.

That said, it's South Carolina in a  midterm election year.

– August 02, 2013 11:35 AM
Q.

Gareth Bale

How does the sound of Gareth Bale possibly going to Real Madrid strike you?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I just threw up in my mouth a little.

– August 02, 2013 11:36 AM
Q.

Tom Cotton v Mark Pryor

I have to think Pryor is going to retire and work on K Street, or is going to lose as badly as Blanche Lincoln. He's never had a tough opponent, has his own personal issues (divorce), and is getting incoming from all sides.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think he saw what happened to Blanche and doesn't want to go down that road.  I would not be stunned if he decided not to run.

– August 02, 2013 11:36 AM
Q.

Detroit Mayoral Primary

Does the fact the you want the job automatically disqualify you?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

It's like Groucho Marx said: "I don't care to belong to any club that will have me as a member"

– August 02, 2013 11:37 AM
Q.

August 10th

Chelsea Vs. Roma at RFK. I will be there!!
A.
Chris Cillizza :

So cool. Chelsea is going to be amazing this year.I am already depressed about it.

– August 02, 2013 11:37 AM
Q.

Fix Aaron

I am still waiting for the Fix Aaron shirts.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Team Aaron!

– August 02, 2013 11:38 AM
Q.

Beautiful on the inside

Now, now. A peevish attitude isn't going to endear you to the judges.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

So true. I need to project magnanimity, which is tough for me.

– August 02, 2013 11:38 AM
Q.

Filner, Weiner, Spitzer

What party are they? I'm only asking because I never see it mentioned in the news.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I see what you did there.

– August 02, 2013 11:38 AM
Q.

Re: Scott Walker

One big plus for him in 2016: pretty much every Republican faction can live with him. Economic & social conservatives both claim him. And the Republican donor class loves union-bashing.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yup. And his fight against unions made him a national conservative hero.

– August 02, 2013 11:42 AM
Q.

Scott Walker

I have to think Walker is safe for 2014 for a number of reasons. The dem bench is drained, any candidate thinking of running statewide would rather face Ron Johnson in 2016, and states like PA, FL, and SC will be much better targets to flip,
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Dem bench in Wisconsin is remarkably weak for a state with such a strong progressive tradition.

– August 02, 2013 11:43 AM
Q.

Governor's meeting

Who's really hot stuff at this meeting? Is there any bipartisanconfabbing or do the Dems and Reps just huddle in their own corners and glare at each other? If they're in Milwaukee, somebody should be drinking beer.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Funny you should ask. Check out Fix Sean's curtian-raiser on what to watch for this weekend.

It's here: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2013/08/02/five-things-to-watch-at-the-national-governors-association-meeting/

– August 02, 2013 11:44 AM
Q.

Re: Job Approval

Well, Bill Clinton and Ronald Reagan had pretty good second-term job approval (except for Reagan in 1987, which was dominated by Iran-Contra), although their days of legislative success were mostly behind them. Both men were presiding over much more vibrant economies than Obama is. (Worth noting that Clinton's high job approval bought him very little from a GOP Congress -- they impeached him, after all!)
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Good point.

– August 02, 2013 11:45 AM
Q.

Worst Week Nominee

How about Gov. McDonnell's Daughter, who had to give back all those wedding gifts?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Your nomination has been received.

– August 02, 2013 11:45 AM
Q.

Christie

If Iowans can stomach Steve King's "brash and bully" persona, Chris Christie should be fine. At least in the NW part of the state.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Steve King agrees with Iowa Republicans on a lot more things than I think Chris Christie will. Just something to consider.

– August 02, 2013 11:45 AM
Q.

Begich

I'm intrigued by how well he seems to be holding up so far. He's a Democrat from Alaska who voted for health care reform and he's slightly favored to win reelection. I just can't wrap my mind around it. What's his secret formula?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

1. His name is gold in Alaska thanks to his dad/him

2. He was the mayor of Anchorage before coming to the Senate so people feel like they know him.

3. Contested GOP primary

4. It's Alaska. The politics are just different there.

– August 02, 2013 11:46 AM
Q.

Speculation

Alexandra Petri says we should stop speculating about 2016 and beyond. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/compost/wp/2013/07/30/this-2016-and-2020-and-2060-speculation-is-getting-out-of-hand/ Your comments?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Never. Too. Early.

I am having bumper stickers made.

– August 02, 2013 11:47 AM
Q.

A-Rod

Not WWIW but wow, went from largest contract in sports history to most disgraced athlete of all time (sorry Lance, I think he took the title from you). What politician is the equivalant of A-Rod?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

GREAT question.

Off the top of my head I would say John Edwards. Was at the top of his profession and now can't really even go in public.

Others?

– August 02, 2013 11:48 AM
Q.

Anthony Who?

Blocking questions about Anthony Wiener today? (HA). Does this affect Huma Abedin's being on her team if she runs in 2016?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I am just sort of done with him. I don't think he has any chance of being the next mayort of NYC so covering him now is for the pure salaciousness of what he has done/said.

As for Huma, who knows? I know the Clintons prize loyalty and she has always been incredibly loyal to them.

– August 02, 2013 11:49 AM
Q.

Is Anthony Weiner still campaigning?

Who on earth is funding his campaign right now? They would be better off tossing their money into some other heavily polluted enterprise.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Sadly, he is. Why? I have absolutely no idea.

– August 02, 2013 11:49 AM
Q.

NFL

Does the Fix household have a favorite NFL team?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Grew up rooting for the Giants...

– August 02, 2013 11:50 AM
Q.

Following soccer, er, football

How do you watch games? Apparently there's a Fox soccer channel that shows games a lot but I don't get it.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Fox Soccer rules! Saturday and Sunday mornings I am all EPL all the time. Also subscribe to the "Men in Blazers" podcast. It rules.

– August 02, 2013 11:51 AM
Q.

I know you love Dan Balz, but...

do you think there's any truth to the whole "Mitt Romney didn't even want to run" story that's been excerpted in the WaPo?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yes. Because Dan reported it. That dude doesn't get it wrong.

– August 02, 2013 11:51 AM
Q.

Filner, Weiner, Spitzer -- What party are they?

Hmmm, what party are Vitter, Craig and Foley?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I see what is happening here.

– August 02, 2013 11:51 AM
Q.

RE: KY or SC?

Cook has moved KY Sen to a toss-up! Still think Graham is in more danger? McConnell is in a tough spot already while there's no evidence Graham is, right?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I don't believe Charlie factors in losing in primaries. I still think KY is more likely to go D than SC. But I think Graham is less likely to come back to the Senate than McConnell.

– August 02, 2013 11:52 AM
Q.

Squirrel Chat

When is the competition of Squirrel Chat coming back?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

That squirrel chat won't be bothering us anymore.

– August 02, 2013 11:52 AM
Q.

Feingold

Do you think he ever gets back into the arena, or is he done with elected politics?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

RonJon challenge in 2016....

– August 02, 2013 11:53 AM
Q.

Jerry Brown

Shoo-in for re-election in 2014?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yup. Real race will be in the D primary for gov in 2018. Gavin Newsom, Kamala Harris, Antonio Villaraigosa...going to be a good one,.

– August 02, 2013 11:53 AM
Q.

IOWA

My co-worker went to Iowa last week. Should I be worried?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Absolutely.  Assume he/she is exploring a run for president. Only because people keep asking he/she to do so though not because of any sort of rank personal ambition.

– August 02, 2013 11:54 AM
Q.

Washington's Golden Boy

New Republic has a profile of Luke Russert under this title. I thought you were the Golden Boy???
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Son of a...

First the "Most Beautiful people" snub and now this.

– August 02, 2013 11:55 AM
Q.

RE: A-Rod/Edwards

Gary Hart (look him up, kids!) more than Edwards. Edwards lasted longer into the campaign but was never the favorite like Hart was. And he challenged the media to catch him, etc.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Good one.

"Risky Business". That is all.

– August 02, 2013 11:55 AM
Q.

The Fall of Rubio

Looks like Immigration Reform has killed him. Maybe he should win an actual statewide election.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Um, didn't he do that in 2010? 

– August 02, 2013 11:56 AM
Q.

Wrestling on Youtube

Do you have any favorites that you would care to share?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Um, yes.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b5DIjKEAnXQ

– August 02, 2013 11:56 AM
Q.

Jeb

He's not top tier. The Bush name isn't as useful as you think, especially within conservative circles. Why give money to another Bush when Christie, Paul, and Cruz are out there?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

We shall see. I think you understimate Jeb pretty badly.

– August 02, 2013 11:57 AM
Q.

Republicans winning a Senate majority

What would you put the odds at at this point?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

50-50.

Not being coy.

Issue is whether they can win 3 of these 4: Alaska, Arkansas, Lousiana and North Carolina. And not lose Kentucky.

– August 02, 2013 11:58 AM
Q.

Chris Cillizza :

That's all folks. Make sure to check in on "In Play" this and every afternoon.  I think you will like. Link here: http://www.washingtonpost.com/posttv/c/show/inplay

 

Enjoy the weekend. And rememeber: We do this thing every Friday at 11 am. Spread the word.

Chris

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