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April 26, 2013

11:08
A.M.

The Fix Live

Total Responses: 67

About the hosts

About the host

Host: Chris Cillizza

Chris Cillizza

Chris Cillizza is the managing editor of PostPolitics and he writes "The Fix," a politics blog for The Washington Post. He also covers the White House for the newspaper and website. Chris has appeared as a guest on NBC, CBS, ABC, MSNBC, Fox News Channel and CNN to talk politics. He lives in Virginia with his wife and sons.

About the topic

The Fix's Chris Cillizza discussed the latest in political news.

Follow @TheFix on Twitter.
Q.

Chris Cillizza :

Sorry for the late start. I accidentally picked up Mrs Fix's computer this AM...hijinks then ensued.

Anyway, I am here. Let's do it.

Q.

Martin O'Malley

The MD Governor won't be president in 2016, so what are the array of possibilities here? Is this a warm-up lap for 2020? VP? A comfortable but not too demanding cabinet position? Or is he playing the odds that neither Biden nor HRC enters the race (or has a health problem) and suddenly it's a wide-open field? In that case, Martin O'Malley? Seriously?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Well, I think at this point he figures he will start the process of running and then pivot to other things depending on what the field looks like.

Also, there's no obvious next step for O'Malley. He is termed out in 2014. He can't stay out of office until 2020 to run for president. No one will remember who he is by that point.

This is his best option. It's not a great chance but there is A chance.

– April 26, 2013 11:11 AM
Q.

Twitter

Can you unblock me please? I think you were too hasty to block, especially considering the actually mean things people tweet at you. Thanks.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Um....

– April 26, 2013 11:11 AM
Q.

A Theory on Senate Retirements

I've got a theory on Senate retirements that I'm hoping you'll weigh in on. Could it be possible that the primary motivating factor behind Levin, Baucus, etc deciding to retire is simply that they don't want to work until they die? It's a bit morbid but since they were all reelected in 2008 they've seen Kennedy, Byrd, and Inouye all die while in office. They've seen Stevens die less than two years after failing to be reelected and they're currently watching Lautenberg deteriorate before their eyes. I know you wrote a story about how the primary cause is the increased partisanship in Washington but given the fact that many of these folks were elected in the Watergate era and had not trouble staying for decades after I'm inclined to believe they just want to get out while they're still in good health.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think that is a very smart theory.

All of the Senators are infuenced by what happens to their colleagues. It's a small  club -- 100 people - so when you see friends dying in office or losing reelection races, it impacts your thinking. No question.

And don't we all want to retire when we still have our health? That's my plan.

– April 26, 2013 11:13 AM
Q.

IL Gov

GOP isn't winning. The state is too blue. I hope you move it down or out of the rankings.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

If Pat Quinn is the nominee, Bruce Rauner has a real chance. If Lisa Madigan is the nominee, he probably doesn't

– April 26, 2013 11:13 AM
Q.

Writing style

I. Hate. This. Style. Please don't write like this.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I will now take to writing in a Kerouac "On the Road" style no stoppages just a stream of consciouness all in one single long sentence heck this could be fun

– April 26, 2013 11:15 AM
Q.

A New Era of Stability?

It is possible that fairly soon we'll see an era of increased bipartisan cooperation in the Senate? You and many others have suggested that one of the reasons for the increased partisanship is that so many of the members are new and unused to working together. Consider the fact that last year every senator elected in 2006 was reelected and it appears that most of the 2008 class is likely to return (Hagan and Begich being the possible exceptions). It seems we've got a recepie for less congressional turnover in the future.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Not sure the "most members of the class of 2008" will return thing. There are already eight Senators retiring prior to their 2014 races.

– April 26, 2013 11:15 AM
Q.

Eight retiring senators

If my addition is correct, before the 2014 election even happens, we know that we will be losing 198 years of Senatorial experience with the retirement of eight Senators, five of whom have served for 30 or more years. Has this country ever lost that many years of experience through retirement before? What does that mean for the re-elections of sitting Senators? Will voters decide to re-elect experience in the other races?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

It's remarkable.

And my general experience in Senate races is that one doesn't tend to have much to do with the others. They are just individual events.

– April 26, 2013 11:17 AM
Q.

WWIW

A Democrat?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

An agency.

– April 26, 2013 11:17 AM
Q.

Trivia Team

I'm guessing you're Mario Chalmers.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I am not even a starter. I am more like Juwan Howard.

– April 26, 2013 11:17 AM
Q.

Another Bush

It's the old "I don't really want it...I don't really want it...fine, you convinced me" routine. Jeb isn't affected by his mom's words at all. It is, however, a great way to bring up 2016 talk without doing anything overtly political. Media got played again.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Covering what someone says isn't "getting played".

That said, I agree with you that Barbara Bush saying she would rather Jeb not run in 2013 doesn't mean he won't run in 2016.

– April 26, 2013 11:19 AM
Q.

All hail Achenbach

I, for one, am enjoying the Joel Achenbach/ The Fix blog tango.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I LOVE HIM.

For those who have no idea what we are talking about, Joel Achenbach, one of my favorite writers anywhere, is now doing a week in review piece for the Fix every Friday.

His latest is here: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2013/04/26/welcome-to-the-hive-mind/

– April 26, 2013 11:19 AM
Q.

Scott Walker

I'm surprised by how much you underestimate Walker. He has a lot more support and enthusiasm than Jindal, Ryan (poor '12 campaign), and arguably the Florida duo. I'd argue that he, Chris Christie, and Rand Paul are the standard bearers for the competing wings of the GOP.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Fair.

I don't underestimate him. I just think he would defer to Paul Ryan if Ryan wants to run.

And here's our latest rankings of the 2016 GOP field -- hot off the presses this morning!

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2013/04/26/what-does-jeb-bush-want/

– April 26, 2013 11:20 AM
Q.

Sanford

Ron Paul has endorsed him, may this help?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I have NO idea.

But, I trust deputy Fix Sean Sullivan who told me this morning it's closer than people think in SC-01.  Check out his piece here: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2013/04/26/why-mark-sanford-is-down-but-not-out/

– April 26, 2013 11:21 AM
Q.

Lindsay Graham

I have noticed Lindsay Graham try to sharpen his conservative bona fides in anticipation of the 2014 election. Do you have any sense that he is in danger of losing the Republican primary and do you have any idea if there are candidates emerging to challenge him from the right?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

He IS in danger of losing a primary but I don't think he will.

Conservatives have had trouble finding a really serious challenger and Graham is a VERY good candidate.

– April 26, 2013 11:22 AM
Q.

Schweitzer

Does he actually run for the Senate in 2014?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Absolutely. I would be stunned if he didn't.  He is out of office, knows in his heart of hearts he's a major long shot in a 2016 presidential race and LOVES the spotlight.

That all makes me think he gets in. And if he does, he's the frontrunner.

– April 26, 2013 11:23 AM
Q.

Mark Sanford and the cardboard doll

Who is advising Mr. Sanford? Standing next to a cardboard cutout of Nancy Pelosi didn't even look as cool as Clint Eastwood's empty chair?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

At this point, I think Mark Sanford is listening the only person he thinks truly understands things: MArk Sanford.

That's the problem. He ran a terrific primary campaign. His general election race has been less, um, impressive.

– April 26, 2013 11:24 AM
Q.

O'Malley

US Senator, if/when Mikulski retires/passes on? Then Pres in 2020 or 2024?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Mikulski JUST got re-elected. So she is in the seat until 2018. And I think O'Malley sees himself as an executive, ideally a chief executive, not a Senator.

– April 26, 2013 11:25 AM
Q.

Barbara Bush

Do you think former First Lady's comments about her son Jeb and Hillary Clinton -- that they shouldn't run in 2016 -- will have any impact on either?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Nope.

– April 26, 2013 11:25 AM
Q.

2016 (of course)

One of my students asked me yesterday about Al Gore and any political ambitions he might still have. I said that Gore was done with politics and glad to be out of it. But after class, I got to wondering--with Hillary and Biden both considering running, is it totally out of the realm of possibility that Gore might do it if they don't? He seems frustrated at the lack of progress on climate change (as we all should be), and I'm wondering if he thinks that being the outsider activist is not as helpful to the cause as being able to actually, you know, do stuff.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

He is totally out. He just doesn't play the political game AT ALL anymore. I always thought he might get in in 2008. But once he passed on that race, I think he decided he was gone for good.

– April 26, 2013 11:26 AM
Q.

Bill Nelson

For governor? Seriously? He just won another term in the Senate -- why would he turn around and run for governor?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I am VERY skeptical. I think it's born of the fact that some part of the Dem party in Florida DO NOT want Charlie Crist as their nominee.

But I don't see why Nelson does it.  Rick Scott is very vulnerable but he is also VERY rich.  And he is going to spend a ton savaging whoever runs against him. Does Nelson really want that?

– April 26, 2013 11:28 AM
Q.

Rehabilitation

I think the Bush apologists might hold off on plans to add him to Mt. Rushmore. Watergate is nearly 40 years gone and, despite herculean efforts, Nixon remains under a cloud. I think 2 wars, a tanked economy, and torture will prove even harder to overcome.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

As I wrote in my piece on his improving numbers, there is a ceiling (and a low one) for how high his approval can go. Almost 6 in 10 people still disapprove of Iraq and that ain't going to change with history.

– April 26, 2013 11:28 AM
Q.

WHCD

Of all the clips from past dinners, how could you not include the skit with The West Wing cast from the late 90s?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Adding now!

And if you missed our Fix post on the 5 best WH Correspondents Dinner moments, it's here: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2013/04/25/five-memorable-white-house-correspondents-dinner-moments-video/

– April 26, 2013 11:29 AM
Q.

Retire?

Who said you could retire?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I am going to walk away.  Koufax-like. Except for being dominant at anytime in my career.

– April 26, 2013 11:30 AM
Q.

Retiring Senators

What's the big deal? This happens all the time. "Ohs no, we're losing our elder statesmen and all that experience." Same ol', same ol'.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yes, Senators do retire all the time. But the # and years of service leaving is actually outpacing most modern history.

– April 26, 2013 11:30 AM
Q.

New Rules...

Don't buy a dragon if you don't know how they work, and don't insult strangers, even if you don't think they understand you.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I mean, we all knew she spoke Valyrian.

Dany Targaryen is NOT to be trifled with.

– April 26, 2013 11:31 AM
Q.

Writing style

Or maybe. You could write. InastylelikeWilliamShatner's.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Takenunderconsideration.

– April 26, 2013 11:31 AM
Q.

Carte Goodwin

So he isn't running to succeed Jay Rockefeller? I thought that was the whole reason for his appointment after Robert Byrd died? Seems kind of pointless now.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Agree. I was stunned when he said he wasn't running.

– April 26, 2013 11:31 AM
Q.

Scott Walker & Paul Ryan

In 2016, does Scott Walker defer to Paul Ryan, or does Walker make a decision about running regardless of what Ryan does?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

See above. I think defer but maybe this is too high stakes stuff to do the whole "dibs" thing.

– April 26, 2013 11:32 AM
Q.

Prognostication

Forget 2016, 2020,2024, and 2028. My son's first presidential election that he can vote in will be 2032. Who are the candidates going to be in that election?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Going to have to deal with Mila Bush Hager, for sure...

– April 26, 2013 11:32 AM
Q.

Tweets

Only Twits Tweet.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

"These kids think tweet twit themselves." -- Ben Bradlee.

– April 26, 2013 11:33 AM
Q.

Why doesn't O'Malley just run for Congress?

He'd gain valuable experience and stay in the public eye.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

If you think a governor of a state thinks running for Congress is anything but a step down, you don't understand how politicians think.

– April 26, 2013 11:33 AM
Q.

I. Hate. This. Style. Please don't write like this.

So everyone on the Internet has to conform to your prejudices?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Exactly!

I. Will. Write. howiwant.

– April 26, 2013 11:34 AM
Q.

Bill Clinton/WHCD

Enjoyed the video of Bill Clinton's last days in office. Little known fact -- the red haired kid who was photocopying his face was the older brother from the Adventures of Pete & Pete.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

That IS little known.

– April 26, 2013 11:35 AM
Q.

Amash

What do you know about Amash and the Senate? Is he going to run?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Don't know. If he does, he is likely the GOP nominee and almost certainly a loser in the general election.

– April 26, 2013 11:35 AM
Q.

Deval

What do you see next for Deval Patrick? The man can give a speech, and has had a pretty successful run as MA governor.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

He COULD be in the 2016 mix.  Not sure what he wants for himself but I thought he was quite good under the VERY diffoicult circumstances of the Boston bombings.

– April 26, 2013 11:36 AM
Q.

Game of Thrones

Bigger WTF! ending: Jamie Lannister's unhanding or Dany's dragon beat down?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Oh Jaime for sure. Did you really think Dany was giving up one of her dragons to that dude?

Also, "Tywin Lannister" would be a great band name.

– April 26, 2013 11:37 AM
Q.

style

With apologies to Chris Berman, I. Miss. Howard. Cosell.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

He. Could. Go. All. The. Way.

– April 26, 2013 11:37 AM
Q.

Mark Sanford

How about Colbert-Busch closes with this statement at the debate: "It's pretty clear that Jenny Sanford was the brains in the partnership, and Mark by himself thinks he can do whatever he wants without paying attention to the law, courtesy or decency. If you elect him, you know he will embarass you and all of South Carolina again. Haven't we had enough?"
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Not a bad close...

– April 26, 2013 11:37 AM
Q.

Liverpool

So, Suarez. Any biting comments?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

1. He is a maniac. The cannibal of Ajax strikes again!

2. He is an unbelievable footballer

3. I bet Liverpool keeps him -- because of #2.

– April 26, 2013 11:38 AM
Q.

who are the other two families?

Barbara Bush said the presidency shouldn't be limited to the same four families. Who are the two besides Bushes and Clintons?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Kennedys...not sure the other...and not sure she was making a specific reference but rather talkin about the dynastic nature of American politics....maybe the Roosevelts?

Or the Frelinghuysens.

– April 26, 2013 11:39 AM
Q.

If you think a governor of a state thinks running for Congress is anything but a step down, you don't understand how politicians think.

God forbid a politician should seek experience in more than one branch of government.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Just not how they think.

– April 26, 2013 11:39 AM
Q.

Governors in Congress

Hey, Mike Castle and Bill Janklow did it.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Both came from states with only one congressional district, meaning that as a member of the House you represent the same # of people that the governor or the Senators do.

– April 26, 2013 11:39 AM
Q.

Mila Bush Hager

Will not be old enough to run for POTUS in 2032.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Humor is dead.

– April 26, 2013 11:40 AM
Q.

Rankings for the 2016 Dem Field

Are the latest rankings of the 2016 Dem field and the 2020 field -- hot off the presses - likely to remain the same for the forseeable future... 1) Hillary; 2) Hillary; 3) Hillary
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yes.

She is the top tier. Period.

– April 26, 2013 11:40 AM
Q.

Gov to Congress

Don't forget Mark Sanford!
A.
Chris Cillizza :

He hasn't been elected yet.

– April 26, 2013 11:43 AM
Q.

Four Families

Maybe #4 was the Rockefellers.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Good call.

– April 26, 2013 11:43 AM
Q.

Writing style

You did mention that you had some Irish blood, so I would like to see you emulate the esteemed novelist James Joyce, who was famous for his stream of consciousness writing. One source said, "Joyce’s novels, with their innovative language, use of dialogue, characteristic modernist forms, and social frankness,..." See, that already sounds like your blog postings!
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The snow fell softly on all the living and the dead...politicians

– April 26, 2013 11:44 AM
Q.

Four Families

Bush, Clinton, Roosevelt, and Adams (or I guess Harrison)
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Adams!

– April 26, 2013 11:44 AM
Q.

Delaware 2014

hello chris. love the chat. i believe Del. gov. jack markell is term-limited in 2014. any chance christine o'donnell runs as a republican again and snags this seat for the GOP in an off-year election?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Um, no.

– April 26, 2013 11:46 AM
Q.

Governors in Congress (redux)

Okay, if it's such a comedown, how about...oh, I don't know...Mark Sanford?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

He is kind of a special case, no?

– April 26, 2013 11:46 AM
Q.

Colbert-Busch

Is Elizabeth Colbert-Busch running an excellent campaign in SC right now, or is Mark Sanford just a caricature in a traveling clown car?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The latter

– April 26, 2013 11:46 AM
Q.

Question from Louisiana

Despite his assertions otherwise, Gov. Jindal desparately wants to be the Republican candidate for president in 2016. But his in-state popularity just took a big nose dive, and a regressive state tax plan he's been touting was dead on arrival (although it seems he hasn't given up on some aspects of it). What's your current read on the guy?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

He is running for president.  His in state numbers are not good but I think he is building a resume that night look better to conservatives in IA, NH and SC than they look to the general electorate in Louisiana.

– April 26, 2013 11:47 AM
Q.

re: "WHY DOESN'T O'MALLEY JUST RUN FOR CONGRESS?"

You can make a LOT more money as Governor of Baltimore than as a freshman congressman. After twenty years, it probably evens out.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Carcetti!

– April 26, 2013 11:48 AM
Q.

Y dont u rite in Cat speek?

Juz change name from Fix. Me dont lik Fix.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I haz cheezburger

– April 26, 2013 11:49 AM
Q.

Chelsea

Any chance of running in the years ahead? Is she doing anything that hints at building a political future?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

She has said she feels the call to public service....hard to come from that family and not be at all interested in politics, right?

– April 26, 2013 11:50 AM
Q.

The Four Families

If Barbara Bush was referring to the Rockefellers and Kennedys as the other two dynastic families, she should check the date on her calendar. The last Rockefeller presidential candidacy was in 1968, and the last Kennedy campaign was in 1980. Not exactly last week, ifyouknowwhatImean.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Bizoom.

– April 26, 2013 11:50 AM
Q.

NFL Draft

Who do you have taking Geno? Te'o?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The last time I followed the NFL Draft closely, Geno Toretta was being picked.

– April 26, 2013 11:50 AM
Q.

Mila Bush Hagar

She will be too young to run for President in 2032.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

She will?!!? I didn't realize.

Let me reiterate: Humor is dead.

– April 26, 2013 11:51 AM
Q.

Jindal

How many national candidates are successful if their home state doesn't like them?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Tends to not make much of a difference. Massachusetts didn't like Romney and he wound up as the GOP nominee.

– April 26, 2013 11:51 AM
Q.

The Ship has a List

From your list, which possible GOP Nominee could beat Hillary in 2016?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Could?

Rubio. Jeb. For sure.

And anyone else COULD depending on how the race played out.

But she would quite clearly start the race as a favorite.

– April 26, 2013 11:52 AM
Q.

Cat Speek

OK THAT was annoying...
A.
Chris Cillizza :

That is something on which we can all agree.

– April 26, 2013 11:52 AM
Q.

ADAMS TOO FAR IN THE PAST

I'm more inclined to go with Kennedys on the political dynasty...what Adams family member in the last 200 years or so has won anything?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Sam Adams? America's best brewer?

– April 26, 2013 11:53 AM
Q.

Partisanship

You used the difference between approval and disapproval ratings in the polls as an indicator of partisanship levels. That may be an easy metric to calculate, but I'm not so sure that is a good measure. To me, partisanship should be judged by the actions and attitudes of elected officials rather than the public. Partisan feelings have been high for the last two presidents, but they didn't bring impeachment proceedings against them as they did with Clinton!
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Um, ok.

– April 26, 2013 11:54 AM
Q.

Kay Hagan

What Republican steps up to run against her? It feels like the bigger names are holding off on running.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Race is very slow to develop. But remember that Democrat back in 2008 went througha  bunch of time before Hagan emerged.

No one but people like is paying attention at this point.

– April 26, 2013 11:54 AM
Q.

Since Torretta was picked in the 7th round

You were a serious diehard. Speaking of which, Die Hard was a great movie. The 5th Die Hard, not so much.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I agree with everything in this "question".

– April 26, 2013 11:55 AM
Q.

Mikulski

Mikulski was reelected in 2010 - not 2012 (that was Cardin) so O'Malley could run for her seat (if she retires) in 2016. He could still not want to if he wants to be an executive.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Ah.  Good point. I STILL don't think he runs for Senate. But who knows?

– April 26, 2013 11:55 AM
Q.

She has said she feels the call to public service

Public service does not equal politics or running for office. Look at all the second-generation Kennedys in non-political public service (aid foundations, etc.) Chelsea could keep on working the Clinton Global Initiative and take over when her parents retire.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yes, she could. But she could also run for something.

– April 26, 2013 11:55 AM
Q.

Chris Cillizza :

That's all for today folks! Thanks for joining me. And, I am on vacation next week so I will see you back here in TWO Fridays. 11 am. Be there!

Chris

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