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March 22, 2013

11:11
A.M.

The Fix Live

Total Responses: 65

About the hosts

About the host

Host: Chris Cillizza

Chris Cillizza

Chris Cillizza is the managing editor of PostPolitics and he writes "The Fix," a politics blog for The Washington Post. He also covers the White House for the newspaper and website. Chris has appeared as a guest on NBC, CBS, ABC, MSNBC, Fox News Channel and CNN to talk politics. He lives in Virginia with his wife and sons.

About the topic

The Fix's Chris Cillizza discussed the latest in political news.

Follow @TheFix on Twitter.
Q.

Chris Cillizza :

Sorry for delay. The Internets broke. But I am here now.

Let's do this thing.

Q.

Leno

What's up with all the Leno promos? No love for the other boys - Letterman, Fallon, Kimmel, Colbert, Stewart?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Off on the right foot!

– March 22, 2013 11:09 AM
Q.

Unity ticket???

Hi Chris, Amazing BW story this morning about the once-possible "unity ticket" between Santorum and Gingrich. I would've loved to have been a fly on the wall when those two were fighting over who would be prez and who would be veep. What do you think?? Could this have worked? Any historical precedence for something like this?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

AMAZING story by my friend Josh Green.

I feel as though these plans to make a fusion ticket never work out -- and never work out for a very specific reason: Because neither one of the politicians want to play second fiddle. Which is the problem here.

I am not sure if it could have worked. But a Santorum-Newt or Newt=Santorum ticket would have been incredibly intriguing.

– March 22, 2013 11:11 AM
Q.

Rand over Ron

Maybe Rand Paul learned that he shouldn't talk nonstop about the Fed if he wanted attention. Just saying.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think people drastically understimate Rand's abilities. He is not his dad -- he is far more politically astute and charismatic.

He is a top tier candidate in 2016. I am not sure he can win the nomination but he will be in the mix.

– March 22, 2013 11:12 AM
Q.

Paul Ryan

You have Paul Ryan ranked at #6 on the R side of your bracket. What accounts for Such a low ranking? I thought the consensus was that he acquitted himself well as the VP candidate. Why would he not be at least in the top 3?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I just am not sure that a policy wonk with no political people around him is the best fit for a presidential race.

I think Ryan will be in the mix but  I think others -- Rubio, Jeb, Rand, Jindal -- are all doing more than he is at the moment to position for 2016.

I also wonder how he would do as the lead on the ticket rather than the second slot.

– March 22, 2013 11:14 AM
Q.

Republican troubles

Isn't the talk of the difficulties that the Republican party faces a bit overblown? After 2004 the death of the Dems was reported for the next 6 months. I attribute the Dem victory is 2012 to one simple reason. Barack Obama is a likable guy, while Mitt Romney was not.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The demographics are very problematic for Republicans.

But, I do agree that one really talented candidate can change a party's fortunes pretty quickly.

– March 22, 2013 11:15 AM
Q.

Rick Perry 2016

LOL.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I don't get it. I really don't.

There is NO evidence from the 2012 race that there are people pining for him to run again.

– March 22, 2013 11:15 AM
Q.

O'Malley

Is he more Dean or Obama?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think he wants to be the liberal-est candidate in the field. And that might work, unless Elizabeth Warren runs.

– March 22, 2013 11:16 AM
Q.

Late night rumble

Fallon vs. Leno - what will NBC do?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Um....

– March 22, 2013 11:16 AM
Q.

True or False

Cory Booker will regret not running for Governor of NJ one year from now?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

False.

I think Christie is hard to beat. And Booker is a heavy favorite to be the next Senator.

– March 22, 2013 11:16 AM
Q.

2016 Republicans

Which Republicans will definitely run in 2016? There is a lot of talk that Christie, Rubio and Ryan would be strong contenders for the GOP nomination but what signs are there that they're seriously considering a run?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Jindal

Christie

Rubio

Rand

I think those 4 are in for sure.  Christie is the one I am the least certain of that quartet.

Jeb and Paul Ryan I am a little less certain on whether they get in or not.

– March 22, 2013 11:17 AM
Q.

Kentucky

Let's get behind Ashley Judd - prognosis???
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Given her profile, I think Dems would be better off with Alison Grimes.  

Judd can raise money -- yes -- but she also allows Mitch McConnell to do what he wants to do: Make the race about someone other than him.

– March 22, 2013 11:18 AM
Q.

The Santorum-Gingrich ticket

Wouldn't have liked to be a fly on the wall to hear that conversation on which of them would head the ticket?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Frankly and fundamentally, yes.

– March 22, 2013 11:18 AM
Q.

Paul Ryan

Do you think Paul Ryan has proven himself politically irrelevant by proposing the same rejected ideas over and over again?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Not with the GOP base who thinks Ryan is a thought leader willing to make hard choices to get rid of the country's debt...

– March 22, 2013 11:19 AM
Q.

Late again

Fix, are you so busy making bets on Syracuse that you can't start your blog on time?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Wow. Montana REALLY didn't show up last night. Man.  

– March 22, 2013 11:19 AM
Q.

famous like Mike Wilbon

You're entering Wilbon famous territory with your TV & radio appearances. But unfortunately, for years we all had to live under Wilbon chat time, which was 15 minutes later than actual time. Will we all start having to live under "The Fix" time from now on?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

This is the first time anyone has ever compared me to Wilbon. Given that he and Mr. Tony  are gods in my world, I am printing this question out and saving it for all time.

– March 22, 2013 11:22 AM
Q.

Breaking Bad

How's the series coming? Up to season 5 yet?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I have hit a wall. End of Season 2.

– March 22, 2013 11:24 AM
Q.

WARNING

Noticed that you drink mochachinos and eat muffins during these chats and wanted to advise you that one day that sort of thing is going to catch up with you and you'll find you're a very hefty 300 plus pound guy who could be a candidate for The Biggest Loser.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I know. My anxiety keeps my metabolism up.

– March 22, 2013 11:25 AM
Q.

Is she?

Does the announcement that Hillary Clinton supports gay marrage show anything about her interest in running for President or is that just wild speculation?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think it means she wants to leave open the possibility of running in 2016 and she knows that she needed to get right on the issue asap.

– March 22, 2013 11:25 AM
Q.

RE: Kentucky

I disagree. I don't think any ordinary Democrat takes out McConnell in a traditional race, but Judd can shake things up and actually make him campaign under a spotlight.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

We may get a chance to test that theory.

– March 22, 2013 11:26 AM
Q.

McDonnell

Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell will be unemployed in 10 months. After a successful 4 year term in the Old Dominion, do you see him running for president?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think he and his people want his name in the mix. I think he could run although I don't see him as a top tier guy yet. 

Time will tell. It's possible he could make a run at it...although the deal he and thw VA legislature cut on transportation might be an issue for hardline fiscal conservatives.

– March 22, 2013 11:27 AM
Q.

Bundled gun bill vs. a la carte

Is Reid still seriously planning putting the gun safety bills all in one yes-or-no bundle? With certain provisions wildly popular (background checks) and others still too much for GOPers and red state Dems to swallow (assault weapons/clips), why not make them all free-standing in hopes that some will succeed?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

No. He has stripped the main bill down to one BIG measure -- background checks -- and dropped assault weapons and high capacity magazines, under the theory they wouldn't pass.

Each of those proposals will get their own vote but I don't think the outlook is all that good for gun control advocates at the moment.

– March 22, 2013 11:28 AM
Q.

Obama set new standard?

With Obama winning the Presidency in 2008 with relatively little national experience, has a new precedent been set for ideal candidate for President? We are hearing a lot about folks like Rand Paul and Elizabeth Warren for 2016, who in years past would likely have not even gotten serious consideration.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I do think he has changed how ambitious national pols think about their rise(s).

At the same time, Obama benefited from remarkably good timing and a once in a generation ability as a campaigner. So, to assume 2016ers can simply follow in his footsteps might be a mistake.

– March 22, 2013 11:30 AM
Q.

RE: "What's wrong with the GOP?"

The other reason this is being discussed so much among the cognoscenti is that your colleagues in the Increasingly Irrelevant MSM want it to be so. They figure the more they hammer home the inaccurate "hostile to Hispanics" theme, the more resonance it will have.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

That's one way to look at it.

But, the media didn't tell Mitt Romney to say "self deportation".

– March 22, 2013 11:31 AM
Q.

Paul Ryan

Paul Ryan didn't help Romney win the election, Wisconsin or even his home voting precinct.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Vice presidents don't. The last VP to really help a presidential candidate win an election was LBJ for Jack Kennedy in 1960.

So I am not sure we should hold that against Ryan.

– March 22, 2013 11:31 AM
Q.

Fix vs Todd

Chuck Todd is presently taking questions over on a Twitter hashtag. Do you think you can out-chat him?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Holy cow. it is on.

– March 22, 2013 11:31 AM
Q.

Don't Sleep on FGCU

Swampy Tech, as it's known down here, can put up some points. They may get to 40 or 45, which spells doom for your boys.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I am worried. We have had so little NCAA tournament success in recent years that I feel I have a reason to be.

PLEASE let this year be different.

– March 22, 2013 11:32 AM
Q.

Fusion tickets

Dude, Reagan-Bush, the ultimate fusion ticket. How quickly they forget... Also, Kennedy-Johnson. A fusion ticket has to represent at least two wings of the party (ideological or geographical) and has to be people who you wouldn't necessarily think would go together, like Kim and Kanye.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Those were not made DURING the primary. It was made after the primary had picked the nominee. That's not what we were talking about with Newt and Rick or Newtorum as I call them.

– March 22, 2013 11:33 AM
Q.

Jack Conway

Why is he not mentioned for the KY senate race?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Because he has lost a bunch of races.

– March 22, 2013 11:33 AM
Q.

UAlbany chances against Duke...

As an Albany alum I'd love to believe they have a chance. But losing to #15 Lehigh last year effectively ended any chance of Duke looking past the Great Danes... But at least we're in the tourney...
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The world is rooting for Albany. We are all Great Danes.

– March 22, 2013 11:33 AM
Q.

Confusion in office

Perhaps Gingrich and Santorum would have been better positioned to run for Pope than President? They are both older, Catholic white males.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

ZING!

– March 22, 2013 11:34 AM
Q.

Scott Walker

Any reason why Scott Walker isn't in your list of likely 2016 candidates?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

He is!

He's a #11 seed in our Sweet 2016 bracket competition!

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2013/03/20/the-fixs-sweet-2016-bracket-competition/

– March 22, 2013 11:35 AM
Q.

Ryan sixth?

Surpised he ranked that high. He was a better VEEP candidate that Palin, buy how hard is that? During the campaign he appeared to be using the same fact checking consultants as Michele Bachmann, and what was he thinking, lieing about his marathon time?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

The other side of the Ryan coin.

– March 22, 2013 11:35 AM
Q.

Gay marriage poll

Liked your column about the gay marriage poll. Interesting quote about how television helped people's thinking evolve about this issue. Do we know the earliest portrayal of a gay character on TV? I'm thinking it must have been Billy Crystal's character on "Soap," which aired during the 1970s. (I was a kid during the 1970s and didn't see it, but have since watched it on Netflix.)
A.
Chris Cillizza :

A good question that I don't know the answer to. Anyone?

Also, here's the column in question: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2013/03/21/support-for-gay-marriage-is-soaring-heres-why/

– March 22, 2013 11:36 AM
Q.

Tom Corbett

Is the PA governor going to break the streak of incumbents winning reelection?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

It's going to be a very tough race for him. Allyson Schwartz, a Dem member of Congress from the Philly area, is moving aggressively toward the race and should be able to raise a ton of dough.

– March 22, 2013 11:37 AM
Q.

Jeb Bush

Everyone assumes that his last name will be a draw back for him. While he was a fine Governor, if his name were Busch, would anyone consider a candidate out of office for 7 years a credible option?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I don't buy that his last name is a problem for him in a Republican primary in 2016.

George W. Bush's image has been improving with every day since he left office and come 2016 my guess is he will be a neutral or even a slight positive in a GOP primary fight.

– March 22, 2013 11:38 AM
Q.

Senate failure on Gun control

Sure, lots of senators have been bought or intimidated by the NRA, but do these people realize the extent to which thay are out of step with voters? Support for the bill was through the roof. I suspect that guns will be the "legitimate rape" issue of the 2014 elections.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Well, lots of Democrats seem to not want to vote for a gun bill that includes things like bans on high capacity magazines and the assault weapons ban too.

Remember that Harry Reid said this week that there were just 40 votes for Dianne Feinstein's assault weapons ban. There are currently 55 Democrats in the Senate.

– March 22, 2013 11:39 AM
Q.

Harvard

Please join me in booing the IVY win. If they take over our sports what will be left for us mentally average folks?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Couldn't agree more.

It's like when really good looking people are also endearing and smart.

Not fair.

– March 22, 2013 11:40 AM
Q.

Veep selection

So the best you can hope for with the Veep choice is "do no harm" to the ticket. Which would include Joe Biden and Dick Cheney?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I just think the strategy of picking a VP has changed.

Geography is much less of a frontburner concern now. The most important thing is shoring up a character/candidate weak point.

Cheney and Biden were both steady, experienced hands for presidential nominees with relatively thin resumes.

– March 22, 2013 11:41 AM
Q.

You

Serious question--I acknowledge that you are one of the few non-partisan types doing political analysis and that you genuinely don't have a horse in the race. But you do know that your analysis of who's up and who's down can influence how much power others think that a particular politician has, and therefore effect policy outcomes, right?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Sure.

But, I am doing my analysis based on my non partisan read of situations. What people do with my analysis is out of my hands.

– March 22, 2013 11:41 AM
Q.

Gun control

Is there ANYTHING that would make it possible to pass serious gun control legislation in this country? Clearly even 20 dead little children wasn't enough.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I do think it's a stunning moment. Newtown changed less than people thought. I am working on a piece on this for later today on the Fix. Stay tuned.

– March 22, 2013 11:42 AM
Q.

Gay Marriage

I think Hillary Clinton's endorsement of gay marriage marks the point when support for SSM became *mandatory* for a national Democrat. (Although I suspect she would have backed it earlier, if she had not been Secretary of State). I think Rob Portman's endorsement of gay marriage marks the point when support for SSM became *optional* for a national Republican. (I think Dick Cheney was a special case). But note that while many GOP officeholders had respectful things to say about Portman, none of them followed him in supporting SSM. The GOP base is still pretty darned anti-SSM.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Totally agree on it being a "must" issue for Democrats who want to run for president.

– March 22, 2013 11:42 AM
Q.

Gay characters on TV

in 1971, there was a character on All in the Family that was gay - one of Mike's friends. Story-line developed because it took Archie a while to figure it out.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Thanks! 

It is amazing the influence Archie Bunker Show had on the culture. Fracturing of TV stations/shows means no one show could have that impact now, right?

– March 22, 2013 11:44 AM
Q.

Newtorum

I'm sure Rick would prefer Sangrich.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Santonewt!

– March 22, 2013 11:44 AM
Q.

newt santorum

I am fascinated that either of them thought santorum being on the ticket in any way would represent them winning. Seriously? they would never have won Pennsylvania. people there aren't fond of Santorum, to put it mildly.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Right. That's my thought too. It would have gotten a ton of press coverage but I am not sure they wind up as the nominees just because they joined a unity ticket.

– March 22, 2013 11:44 AM
Q.

GOP Governors

Rank in order, in likelihood of losing: Rick Snyder Tom Corbett Paul LePage Rick Scott
A.
Chris Cillizza :

From most likely to least likely:

Rick Scott

Corbett

LePage 

Snyder

– March 22, 2013 11:45 AM
Q.

The worst kept secret in Washington is

Tim Johnson is retiring. Why is he waiting to announce?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I think he is leaving too. As for why, who knows? My conspiracy theory: He is trying to lay the ground work for his son, Brendan, to be the Dem nominee.

Who knows though? He might run again...

– March 22, 2013 11:46 AM
Q.

Book

I'm still waiting for my Fix book/caption prize, Chris. I need to read it before 2016, haha.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Always available: http://www.amazon.com/Gospel-According-Fix-Insiders-Politics/dp/0307987094

– March 22, 2013 11:47 AM
Q.

W

I normally agree with (or at least understand) most of what you write. But this astounded me: George W. Bush's image has been improving with every day since he left office and come 2016 my guess is he will be a neutral or even a slight positive in a GOP primary fight. How can you say that? He was clearly a persona non grata at Mitt's convention, which was four years after leaving office. How since then has his reputation improved? The slew of "Iraq 10 years later" stories can't have helped. I thought that one of the few things Republicans and Democrats agree on (albeit for different reasons) is that W was a disaster.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

We shall see. I just don't think he will be the persona non grata in four years time.

– March 22, 2013 11:48 AM
Q.

Wisconsin

Why Walker was able to survive his recall and Romney&Ryan could not win?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Recalling a governor is different than winning a state at the presidential level.

Just a totally different dynamic. I would think that Dems who pushed for the recall would admit now that they should have waited until 2014 to try and oust Walker.

– March 22, 2013 11:49 AM
Q.

Rick Perry 2016

Best. Sitcom. Ever.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Better than "Being Biden"?

Or "And another thing....with Joe Biden"?

– March 22, 2013 11:49 AM
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Better than "Being Biden"?

Or "And another thing...with Joe Biden"?

– March 22, 2013 11:50 AM
Q.

"Newtorum"

I prefer "Sangrich" -- as in, I like a lot of ham in my Sangrich.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

This is a winner.

– March 22, 2013 11:50 AM
Q.

Gays on TV - All in the Family

I remember that - it wasn't Mike's friend, it was Archie's drinking buddy at the bar - a guy who looked and grew up just like he did (meaning they weren't all that different) Really a groundbreaking show on many levels - and very brave writers/executives for the time
A.
Chris Cillizza :

This chat is going DEEP into Archie Bunker minutiae.

– March 22, 2013 11:51 AM
Q.

Georgetown

Will, and if where will Mr. Fix be watching the Hoyas?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

At Fix HQ with my buddy and the best doctor around Bart Radolinski.

I am already nervous.

– March 22, 2013 11:52 AM
Q.

Link to Gingrich/Santorum Story Please?

Just started reading today's chat. Any chance you can post the link?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

OF COURSE

 

http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-03-22/the-secret-gingrich-santorum-unity-ticket-that-nearly-toppled-romney#r=hp-lst

– March 22, 2013 11:52 AM
Q.

Jodie

Any mention of gay characters on TV has to include Jodie from Soap (also Billy Crystal's breakout role).
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yup. Has been mentioned several times.

– March 22, 2013 11:53 AM
Q.

Today's beverage

In honor of the (non-existent) Midwestern spring, I am having a honey lavender latte. What's in The Fix coffee cup today?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Whoah. That sounds good.

I have been up since 5:30 am and have already consumed:

1. grande mocha

2. Bagel sandwich

3. Snapple ice tea

– March 22, 2013 11:53 AM
Q.

Googled it

1971 All in the Family becomes the first TV sitcom to depict a gay character. Archie Bunker mocks Mike's friend Roger, whom he considers effeminate. Roger, it turns out, is straight — but Archie's macho bar buddy Steve is gay. This groundbreaking sitcom would explore homosexuality again in 1977. Archie discovers wife Edith's cousin was a lesbian and has left her estate to the woman she lived with.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

AHA! 

– March 22, 2013 11:53 AM
Q.

Can I have what you're having?!

Chris Cillizza: I don't buy that his last name is a problem for him in a Republican primary in 2016. George W. Bush's image has been improving with every day since he left office and come 2016 my guess is he will be a neutral or even a slight positive in a GOP primary fight. Chris, please cite a single poll that shows any statistically significant uptick in Dubya's approval rating. He is still so toxic that no one mentioned him at the GOP convention, and he's not exactly in demand to campaign on behalf of candidates. If you're offering a bet about his image in 2016, I'll be delighted to take you up on it.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

My argument is NOT that George Bush will be out campaigning fot his brother.  Instead, I am saying that Jeb Bush has enough of a profile in his own right and George W's image by then won't be so toxic that it will keep him out of the top tier if he wants to run.

– March 22, 2013 11:54 AM
Q.

"Newtown changed less than people thought."

For the NRA and the politicians - yes. But a majority of people now support, stricter laws on sales, banning high capacity clips, universal background checks, etc. Just because the politicians are cowards doesn't mean things didnt change
A.
Chris Cillizza :

But, Congress makes the laws. And people elect members. Right?

– March 22, 2013 11:56 AM
Q.

Paul Ryan

Who's Paul Ryan?
A.
Chris Cillizza :

BAM.

– March 22, 2013 11:56 AM
Q.

Democratic senators

Rank in order of likelihood of losing: Mark Pryor Mary Landrieu Max Baucus Mark Begich
A.
Chris Cillizza :

From most to least likely to lose

Pryor (if Tom Cotton runs)

Landrieu

Begich

Baucus

– March 22, 2013 11:57 AM
Q.

Rankings

Rank these things from most to least: Chevy Malibu, Chicken Pox, Chris Christie, Bowling, String Theory, Yiddish.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Bowling (Lebowski)

Chris Christie

Yiddish

Strong Theory

Malibu

Chicken Pox

– March 22, 2013 11:58 AM
Q.

George W Bush

There's a difference between his image among Republican primary voters and everybody else. I would suspect that he already has a net positive rating among the first group.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I would agree. And that's my point. He will not be toxic or disqualifying for his brother.

– March 22, 2013 11:58 AM
Q.

It's going to be a very tough race for him. [Corbett]

I'm in State College, PA. People here are still furious over his role in the Sandusky/Paterno/Penn State debacle. He's going to have a tough time getting reelected.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

Yup.

– March 22, 2013 11:58 AM
Q.

Archie Bunker Minutiae

... Is my the Hold Steady cover band.
A.
Chris Cillizza :

I was JUST listening to Craig Finn.

– March 22, 2013 11:58 AM
Q.

Chris Cillizza :

Ok folks! That's all for this week. I learned more about Archie Bunker than I thought I would!

See you NEXT Friday at 11 am for even more hilarity and hijinks!

HOYA SAXA.

Chris

Q.

 

A.
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