Well, according to AP, 100% of precincts are reporting.
Count as of this moment:
Obama 4,169,933
Romney, 4,117,528
I think most people believe Obama has won. That gives him a final count of 332 electoral votes.
November 9, 2012, 11:02 A.M.
The Fix Live
The Discussion
About the hosts
About the host
Chris Cillizza
Chris Cillizza is the managing editor of PostPolitics and he writes "The Fix," a politics blog for The Washington Post. He also covers the White House for the newspaper and website. Chris has appeared as a guest on NBC, CBS, ABC, MSNBC, Fox News Channel and CNN to talk politics. He lives in Virginia with his wife and sons.
Highlight
The highlight of Tuesday night was seeing Chris eating.
Chris Cillizza :
I am a pig as an eater. Mrs. Fix always scolds me about my habit of using the fork as a shovel. That you watched me eat on our livestream will gaul her to no end.
Wake Up!
We gave you 24 hours to sleep! Get out of bed and start handicapping 2016!
Chris Cillizza :
Didn't even take that long. I popped my 2016 handciapping piece before the 2012 election was 24 hours old!
It's here: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/11/07/handicapping-the-2016-presidential-field/
Romney post-election
Hey Chris - Do we see Romney having any national GOP role? Does his lack of national office mean we're not likely to hear much from him?
Chris Cillizza :
Probably not. I think he is done. I am sure that whoever he endorses in 2016 will get some bump but unlike even say John Kerry in 2004, Romney doesn't have an office to fall back on and so staying relevant in the national conversation is tough....
The Fix Endorsement Hirearchy
Where would you now place an endorsement by Bruce Springsteen? Would it be higher or lower than Bill Clinton?
Chris Cillizza :
I think it fits where I put it. Here's my link: https://www.google.com/search?q=springsteen+and+fix+endorsement+hierrarchy&oq=springsteen+and+fix+endorsemen&sugexp=chrome,mod=3&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8
You folks are good
I followed along with your story about which candidate should win each state. I think you hit every one. Very impressive Did anything in the election results surprise you?
.
Chris Cillizza :
Thanks! We try.
I was surprised that Republicans lost the Senate seat in North Dakota. To lose as a Republican in a state where Obama got in the low 40s is campaign malpractice.
Flipping a state
Chris -- great job to you and the team on Tuesday and all the years before. My question -- which of the states that are "red" do you see as likely in the next four years (through population shifts, or whatever) to change to blue in 2016? And what is it that would cause the shift? Just demographics? Does a Dem. governor in a red state (happened in GA for years) more likely lead a shift? Or?
Chris Cillizza :
Just wrote on this this morning here: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/11/09/the-next-10-closest-states-in-election-2012/
I think Georgia and Minnesota are potential swing states in 2016. Ditto Arizona.
If Republicans can't fix their problems with Hispanics, Nevada won't be a swing state in 4 years.
Nate Silver
I ask this question sincerely, with respect, as a Fix fan who is NOT a poll wonk: how do you compare your work, and how you and your fellow Fixers do your work, with Nate Silver?
Chris Cillizza :
Sure.
Nate is an incredibly bright guy.
He is a modeler and prognosticator (and a VERY good one.)
I am a political reporter.
We do different and I think complementary things. I think he would agree.
Mark Warner
Do you see Mark Warner running for governor in 2013?
Chris Cillizza :
I don't think he likes the Senate.
I don't see how someone with a moderate record like his can bve a serious threat in the Democratic presidential race in 2016.
So those two facts make me think he might. But, Terry McAuliffe tried to pre-empt him by announcing yesterday that he is running. I am not sure though how much Terry's decision plays into Warner's calculus.
Virginia Senate race
With back to back loses for George Allen, does it mean his political career is over (ie seek elective office again out of the question)?
Chris Cillizza :
I think it's all over for George Allen politically. I think he winds up becoming a lobbyist.
Nate Silver
I just wanted to say, I've been on the Nate Silver bandwagon back in his days when he was working at Baseball Prospectus, coming up with PECOTA, and fivethirtyeight wasn't even a glint in his eye. #hipsternatesilverfans
Chris Cillizza :
PECOTA!
Utah
What happened to Mia Love? It was surprising..
Chris Cillizza :
An amazing loss by her and an amazing win by Jim Matheson -- particularly considering that Romney won Utah by almost FIFTY points.
Virginia Senate race
With back to back loses for George Allen, does it mean his political career is over (ie seek elective office again out of the question)?
Chris Cillizza :
I think it's over for him...