Shouldn't be a problem for you. Earl will likely be off the Canadian maritimes by then. Breezy post-cold front (non Earl) WNW winds in DCA and JFK. Depending on flight path to Europe, maybe a few bumps.
I am currently scheduled to fly DCA-JFK-Europe on Saturday (leaving DCA around noon). Do you have any thoughts, based on the projected path if this might become an issue (I see the eye off the coast of N.C. on Friday and up to Canada by Saturday a.m.)? Thanks.
Shouldn't be a problem for you. Earl will likely be off the Canadian maritimes by then. Breezy post-cold front (non Earl) WNW winds in DCA and JFK. Depending on flight path to Europe, maybe a few bumps.
Strong cold front moving through will be primary reason for cooldown. Earl will interact with the front offshore and perhaps make the cooling and breezes behind it a bit more noticeable.
Unlikely. Isabel (2003) crossed the NC coast on a northwest track, plowing inland all the way to Canada. The core of the hurricane came onshore. Earl's track should be very different. It appears right now that the East Coast will get brushed by the western periphery of the circulation, while the core remains out to sea.
please be careful. hurricane surf and tides are particularly dangerous.
Hi there - My kayak is stored on an outside wooden kayak rack about 40 feet from Assawoman Bay in Fenwick, Del. Should I be driving there (3 hours) to store it somewhere safer?
I honestly don't know.
It's still too early to confidently provide forecast details of wind and rain. We don't know what the rain bands will look like, or what the cloud pattern will be. Right now it appears that the best chance for Earl effects is between the early morning Friday (say 6am) and late afternoon Friday (~4pm). but these are just estimates right now. Earl should accelerate rapidly away from the coast later Friday and be followed quickly be clearing skies and NW breezes by evening
Does D.C. get rain this weekend?
probably not from earl. more likely from the cold front.
There is a lot of money to be made in commercial television for exaggerating the danger a storm poses. At no point has the NHC forecast Hurricane Earl to make landfall, yet sensationalist coverage convinces viewers to keep watching. Is there any real substantial risk that this storm will make landfall? Should we all just go to the NHC's Web site to get the real story?
true.
While the ensemble guidance paints a confident picture of Earl's core remaining offshore, the edges of the circulation may very well impact the Coast. We have to wait and see what the storm looks like as it approaches.
NHC has been great. They have clearly stated the uncertainty of the forecast. And you're right, they have consistently kept the center out to sea.
plug: Capital Weather Gang is a GREAT resource.
probably ok. maybe delays that filter in from travel along the Eastern Seaboard. check before you leave.
We are scheduled to go to the beach (Ocean City, Md.) on Friday night/Saturday morning. How will Earl and upcoming Fiona affect the beach weather?
you probably don't have to worry about direct effects from Earl late Friday night/Sat morning. But prepare for a cool and breezy weekend !
We are leaving from Ohio to Virginia Beach Saturday for a week's vacation, what are your thoughts?
Earl should be long gone by saturday. but it will be cool for the weekend in the wake of a strong cold front.
I'd love to be able to say ... but it's just too early to make a call on what the radar will look like. But Norfolk does indeed stand a chance of some rain/gusty winds Friday.
Probably not
yes. check for delays that filter in from East Coast flights.
in D.C., probably not
Is there likely to be any rain or wind from Earl on the East Coast (particularly on the mid-Atlantic beaches) or just high waves and riptides?
Along the immediate coast, yes, rain and wind are looking more and more likely.
Why is it so unusual for a hurricane to work its way up the East coast as it doesn't seem to happen very often. What makes this storm unusual? And lastly is the storm surge more dangerous then the high winds or to soon to tell at this point?
Hurricanes, in general, are a relatively rare phenomenon. And ones that move along a longitude that impacts the East Coast is only one kind of an already unusual event. Aside from that, there's nothing unusual about Earl :)
Yep. A LOT of variance left in the forecast details. By thursday, we'll have a pretty good idea of what's coming. Right now, we can give you track/intensity estimations. But to guess the radar pattern Earl will present 3 days from now is not wise.
Westerly winds aloft. By the time tropical cyclones move north of, say 30 degrees (i.e. Jacksonville, Fla), they often encounter the westerlies that bring us our weather changes. These often spare North America from hurricane strikes.
if you can, wait till Friday night or Sat morning.
not really yet. We have tropical storm Fiona. Path (and even survival) at this point is largely in question.
I don't know today. but yestderday i read of hurricane force gusts on St. Croix.
pretty good.
Yep. A strong upper trough (with counterclockwise rotating winds) will be moving into the Ohio Valley late in the week. The westerly/southwesterly winds associated with this system will be nudging Earl back out to sea. Also the strong upper-level high pressure system (clockwise flow) to its east will be providing a strong northerly push as well.
don't know right now. Keep an eye to the Hurricane Center's updates.
i don't know of any
What is your forecast for I-95 from D.C. to Boston on Friday?
rain along the corridor too early to call. Breezy north winds, esp as you head toward BOS.
Did I just hear right that FEMA may do evacs not because it is expected to hit land but because of possible coastal flooding?
don't know
So if the hurricane is expected to brush the mainland, can we consider Friday a washout? What level of precipitation is likely here in D.C.?
not likely a washout in DC
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