I think it will be heavy going south on Saturday morning. But this is difficult to predict, because people have so much more flexibility with their December holidays than the Thanksgiving holidays.
But here's what I expect: Many people who have the entire week off won't feel in such a rush to head out on Friday night. And that also will apply to some who are making this a four-day weekend, with Christmas on the end. (They might return on Wednesday morning.)
The thing about I-95, of course is that it's not just an escape route for people in the D.C. area. Many from the Northeast will be using it as a holiday escape route to warmer climes.
If you're coming back Tuesday, Christmas Day, that's definitely going to be the better of the two trips. Tuesday evening might get a little heavy, but it still will be a lot better than Saturday.
Making these sorts of calculations about Thanksgiving getaways is relatively easy compared to the December holidays. Each year is a bit different -- though Christmas and New Year's almost always create long weekends.



