We don't have a similar tolling system in the D.C. region, so I get lots of questions about this, and it will take all of us some getting used to.
First, we won't really know what the tolls will be like till we actually see them in operation after the opening.
But the Transurban folks are saying they could range from about 20 cents a mile at quiet times to about $1.25 per mile at rush hour. The average trip is likely to cost $5 or $6.
Most people are going to use the lanes at rush hour. That's when they'll have the greatest incentive to use them. When more people get in the lanes, the price for using them will go up. There's no cap on how high.
But when the toll gets too pricey, drivers will stop entering the express lanes and use the general purpose lanes instead. Then the toll will drop.
If you're with me so far, I'll add a couple of complications:
Before you enter the lanes -- before you have to commit -- you'll see message boards displaying tolls to three destinations. The last one will be all the way to the end of the express lanes. In other words, that's the max that you're going to pay. The two others will be tolls to popular destinations -- most likely something in Tysons, I figure.
So it's possible you'll never see the exact toll to your own particular exit. You'll just know the toll to a nearby exit, and you'll know the maximum you could pay if you went all the way to the end of the express lanes.
Now, I've already noted that the lanes aren't set up so that you can slide in and out of them every mile or so. Most of the entrances and exits are at interchanges.
So don't picture yourself driving along the Beltway and thinking, wow, looks really heavy up ahead, I'll slide over into the express lanes now.
You won't be able to do that. (And don't think about crunching your way through those white bollards. That's going to leave a mark.)
I think this is going to mean that commuters have to pay more attention to the traffic reports before they leave home or office. I can't figure any other way most people are going to know whether they really want to spend the money to use the new lanes -- unless they just know they're running late and don't want to take a chance on the traffic.